India Meteorological Department observations show Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 39.3°C on April 15 under clear skies and low humidity (15-52%), with forecasts holding steady around 39-40°C for April 16-17 amid persistent dry northwesterly winds and strong solar insolation typical of pre-monsoon conditions. Trader consensus reflects this baseline, pricing 40°C and 41°C nearly even at market-implied odds near 30% each, while 39°C trails closely at 23%, capturing uncertainty from ensemble forecast models like GFS and ECMWF that diverge by 1-2°C due to minor cloud variability or wind shifts. After early April unseasonal rains cooled the city to below 30°C, renewed dry heat has driven the tight race; airport readings at Chaudhary Charan Singh International will resolve, with next IMD update expected midday April 17.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Lucknow on April 17?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 17?
40°C 36%
41°C 26%
39°C 25%
42°C 7%
$10,008 Vol.
$10,008 Vol.
37°C or below
1%
38°C
3%
39°C
25%
40°C
36%
41°C
25%
42°C
7%
43°C
1%
44°C
1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C or higher
<1%
40°C 36%
41°C 26%
39°C 25%
42°C 7%
$10,008 Vol.
$10,008 Vol.
37°C or below
1%
38°C
3%
39°C
25%
40°C
36%
41°C
25%
42°C
7%
43°C
1%
44°C
1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...India Meteorological Department observations show Lucknow's maximum temperature reached 39.3°C on April 15 under clear skies and low humidity (15-52%), with forecasts holding steady around 39-40°C for April 16-17 amid persistent dry northwesterly winds and strong solar insolation typical of pre-monsoon conditions. Trader consensus reflects this baseline, pricing 40°C and 41°C nearly even at market-implied odds near 30% each, while 39°C trails closely at 23%, capturing uncertainty from ensemble forecast models like GFS and ECMWF that diverge by 1-2°C due to minor cloud variability or wind shifts. After early April unseasonal rains cooled the city to below 30°C, renewed dry heat has driven the tight race; airport readings at Chaudhary Charan Singh International will resolve, with next IMD update expected midday April 17.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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