Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the official observational data from São Paulo–Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR), where automated weather station measurements confirmed a maximum temperature of 27°C on April 15 amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds. This outcome aligns precisely with INMET's pre-event forecast of few clouds and highs near 26–28°C under a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge, which limited convective heating typical for autumn in southeastern Brazil, where April highs average 24–26°C. Model consensus from numerical weather prediction systems like GFS and ECMWF anticipated no significant warm-air advection. With data finalized, revision risks are negligible barring rare sensor recalibration, though traders monitor INMET quality checks for final validation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 15 aprile?
La temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 15 aprile?
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$93,212 Vol.
$93,212 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$93,212 Vol.
$93,212 Vol.
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 13, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the official observational data from São Paulo–Guarulhos International Airport (SBGR), where automated weather station measurements confirmed a maximum temperature of 27°C on April 15 amid partly cloudy conditions and light winds. This outcome aligns precisely with INMET's pre-event forecast of few clouds and highs near 26–28°C under a dominant subtropical high-pressure ridge, which limited convective heating typical for autumn in southeastern Brazil, where April highs average 24–26°C. Model consensus from numerical weather prediction systems like GFS and ECMWF anticipated no significant warm-air advection. With data finalized, revision risks are negligible barring rare sensor recalibration, though traders monitor INMET quality checks for final validation.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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