Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 28°C at 40.5% implied probability for São Paulo on April 16, 2026, reflecting the latest INMET forecast of a maximum near 27°C under partly cloudy skies with low precipitation risk, aligned with CPTEC model runs indicating 28°C amid stable high-pressure conditions over southeast Brazil. Recent observations show morning temperatures rising from 18°C, supported by few clouds allowing solar heating, while an approaching cold front introduces increasing cloudiness that caps extremes—past week's highs ranged 24-28°C in dry weather. Urban heat island effects at official stations like Mirante de Santana may nudge readings higher, but model consensus tempers 30°C+ outcomes; updated hourly data through afternoon expected to refine probabilities before evening cooldown.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 16 aprile?
La temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 16 aprile?
28°C 42%
29°C 30%
27°C 19%
30°C 5.4%
NUOVO
$20,328 Vol.
NUOVO
$20,328 Vol.
16 apr 2026
23°C o inferiore
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
19%
28°C
42%
29°C
30%
30°C
5%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C o superiore
<1%
28°C 42%
29°C 30%
27°C 19%
30°C 5.4%
NUOVO
$20,328 Vol.
NUOVO
$20,328 Vol.
16 apr 2026
23°C o inferiore
$2,146 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,585 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,168 Vol.
1%
26°C
$2,214 Vol.
3%
27°C
$1,757 Vol.
19%
28°C
$1,615 Vol.
42%
29°C
$3,441 Vol.
30%
30°C
$2,223 Vol.
5%
31°C
$1,189 Vol.
1%
32°C
$1,618 Vol.
<1%
33°C o superiore
$590 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 28°C at 40.5% implied probability for São Paulo on April 16, 2026, reflecting the latest INMET forecast of a maximum near 27°C under partly cloudy skies with low precipitation risk, aligned with CPTEC model runs indicating 28°C amid stable high-pressure conditions over southeast Brazil. Recent observations show morning temperatures rising from 18°C, supported by few clouds allowing solar heating, while an approaching cold front introduces increasing cloudiness that caps extremes—past week's highs ranged 24-28°C in dry weather. Urban heat island effects at official stations like Mirante de Santana may nudge readings higher, but model consensus tempers 30°C+ outcomes; updated hourly data through afternoon expected to refine probabilities before evening cooldown.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ET
Volume
$20,328Data di fine
16 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 28°C at 40.5% implied probability for São Paulo on April 16, 2026, reflecting the latest INMET forecast of a maximum near 27°C under partly cloudy skies with low precipitation risk, aligned with CPTEC model runs indicating 28°C amid stable high-pressure conditions over southeast Brazil. Recent observations show morning temperatures rising from 18°C, supported by few clouds allowing solar heating, while an approaching cold front introduces increasing cloudiness that caps extremes—past week's highs ranged 24-28°C in dry weather. Urban heat island effects at official stations like Mirante de Santana may nudge readings higher, but model consensus tempers 30°C+ outcomes; updated hourly data through afternoon expected to refine probabilities before evening cooldown.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$20,328Data di fine
16 apr 2026Mercato aperto
Apr 14, 2026, 6:05 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high of 28°C at 40.5% implied probability for São Paulo on April 16, 2026, reflecting the latest INMET forecast of a maximum near 27°C under partly cloudy skies with low precipitation risk, aligned with CPTEC model runs indicating 28°C amid stable high-pressure conditions over southeast Brazil. Recent observations show morning temperatures rising from 18°C, supported by few clouds allowing solar heating, while an approaching cold front introduces increasing cloudiness that caps extremes—past week's highs ranged 24-28°C in dry weather. Urban heat island effects at official stations like Mirante de Santana may nudge readings higher, but model consensus tempers 30°C+ outcomes; updated hourly data through afternoon expected to refine probabilities before evening cooldown.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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