Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast clustering around 78-83°F for Chicago O'Hare's highest temperature on April 17, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge over the Midwest sustaining warm air advection well above the 60°F climatological normal. Latest guidance from models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside Weather Underground's 80°F call under partly cloudy skies with light winds, supports this range, but subtle differences in morning cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing create uncertainty differentiating 78-79°F (24.5% implied probability) from 80-81°F (27.0%). Recent days' 80°F highs underscore the pattern's stability, with no disruptive fronts imminent; watch this afternoon's observations and evening model runs for final sharpening ahead of resolution based on official NHC O'Hare measurements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月17日のシカゴの最高気温は？
4月17日のシカゴの最高気温は？
80～81°F 27%
78〜79°F 24%
82～83°F 18%
76～77°F 12%
新規
$17,819 Vol.
新規
$17,819 Vol.
2026/04/17
71°F以下
<1%
72〜73°F
1%
74〜75°F
4%
76～77°F
12%
78〜79°F
24%
80～81°F
27%
82～83°F
18%
84～85°F
10%
86〜87°F
3%
88〜89°F
2%
90°F以上
1%
80～81°F 27%
78〜79°F 24%
82～83°F 18%
76～77°F 12%
新規
$17,819 Vol.
新規
$17,819 Vol.
2026/04/17
71°F以下
$6,776 Vol.
<1%
72〜73°F
$1,458 Vol.
1%
74〜75°F
$974 Vol.
4%
76～77°F
$936 Vol.
12%
78〜79°F
$951 Vol.
24%
80～81°F
$738 Vol.
27%
82～83°F
$1,738 Vol.
18%
84～85°F
$875 Vol.
10%
86〜87°F
$1,520 Vol.
3%
88〜89°F
$786 Vol.
2%
90°F以上
$1,067 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast clustering around 78-83°F for Chicago O'Hare's highest temperature on April 17, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge over the Midwest sustaining warm air advection well above the 60°F climatological normal. Latest guidance from models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside Weather Underground's 80°F call under partly cloudy skies with light winds, supports this range, but subtle differences in morning cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing create uncertainty differentiating 78-79°F (24.5% implied probability) from 80-81°F (27.0%). Recent days' 80°F highs underscore the pattern's stability, with no disruptive fronts imminent; watch this afternoon's observations and evening model runs for final sharpening ahead of resolution based on official NHC O'Hare measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
音量
$17,819終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast clustering around 78-83°F for Chicago O'Hare's highest temperature on April 17, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge over the Midwest sustaining warm air advection well above the 60°F climatological normal. Latest guidance from models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside Weather Underground's 80°F call under partly cloudy skies with light winds, supports this range, but subtle differences in morning cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing create uncertainty differentiating 78-79°F (24.5% implied probability) from 80-81°F (27.0%). Recent days' 80°F highs underscore the pattern's stability, with no disruptive fronts imminent; watch this afternoon's observations and evening model runs for final sharpening ahead of resolution based on official NHC O'Hare measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/il/chicago/KORD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$17,819終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight forecast clustering around 78-83°F for Chicago O'Hare's highest temperature on April 17, driven by a persistent upper-level ridge over the Midwest sustaining warm air advection well above the 60°F climatological normal. Latest guidance from models like GFS and ECMWF, alongside Weather Underground's 80°F call under partly cloudy skies with light winds, supports this range, but subtle differences in morning cloud cover timing and boundary-layer mixing create uncertainty differentiating 78-79°F (24.5% implied probability) from 80-81°F (27.0%). Recent days' 80°F highs underscore the pattern's stability, with no disruptive fronts imminent; watch this afternoon's observations and evening model runs for final sharpening ahead of resolution based on official NHC O'Hare measurements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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