Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 54°F or higher in Denver at 67% implied probability, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles projecting daytime highs around 54-57°F on April 17 amid a sharp cooldown. This shift stems from a Pacific upper-level trough ushering cooler mid-level air into Colorado's Front Range over the past 48 hours, following unseasonably warm readings in the 70s earlier this week, with increased cloud cover and southwest breezes (gusts to 30 mph) limiting solar heating while mixing boundary layers. A Freeze Watch for overnight lows into April 18 highlights the potent cold air mass, though diurnal cycles support mid-50s peaks; final 18Z model runs today could refine this by 2-3°F before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Denver on April 17?
Highest temperature in Denver on April 17?
54°F or higher 65%
52-53°F 10%
50-51°F 10%
48-49°F 8.3%
$18,742 Vol.
$18,742 Vol.
35°F or below
<1%
36-37°F
1%
38-39°F
1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
2%
46-47°F
2%
48-49°F
8%
50-51°F
10%
52-53°F
10%
54°F or higher
65%
54°F or higher 65%
52-53°F 10%
50-51°F 10%
48-49°F 8.3%
$18,742 Vol.
$18,742 Vol.
35°F or below
<1%
36-37°F
1%
38-39°F
1%
40-41°F
<1%
42-43°F
1%
44-45°F
2%
46-47°F
2%
48-49°F
8%
50-51°F
10%
52-53°F
10%
54°F or higher
65%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Buckley Space Force Base Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket favors a high temperature of 54°F or higher in Denver at 67% implied probability, reflecting the latest National Weather Service forecasts and GFS/ECMWF model ensembles projecting daytime highs around 54-57°F on April 17 amid a sharp cooldown. This shift stems from a Pacific upper-level trough ushering cooler mid-level air into Colorado's Front Range over the past 48 hours, following unseasonably warm readings in the 70s earlier this week, with increased cloud cover and southwest breezes (gusts to 30 mph) limiting solar heating while mixing boundary layers. A Freeze Watch for overnight lows into April 18 highlights the potent cold air mass, though diurnal cycles support mid-50s peaks; final 18Z model runs today could refine this by 2-3°F before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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