Latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) project a high of 16°C in Istanbul on April 17 under partly cloudy to overcast skies with northerly winds up to 29 km/h and humidity 60-88%, but trader-implied odds favor 13°C at 35% amid model ensemble uncertainty from ECMWF and GFS runs clustering 12-14°C due to persistent cool air advection and cloud-induced suppression of daytime heating. Current April 15 observations hit 18°C amid very cloudy conditions, yet a fresh northerly flow risks capping peaks lower, with 12°C viable if overcast dominates early and 14°C possible on partial clearing. Key differentiator: timing of cloud maxima and wind shear per hourly model outputs; watch MGM's April 16 update for refined guidance ahead of resolution via official airport measurements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 17?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 17?
13°C 35%
12°C 29%
14°C 22%
11°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/04/17
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
1%
10°C
4%
11°C
13%
12°C
29%
13°C
35%
14°C
22%
15°C
7%
16°C
2%
17°C
1%
18°C or higher
1%
13°C 35%
12°C 29%
14°C 22%
11°C 13%
新規
新規
2026/04/17
8°C or below
$764 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$926 Vol.
1%
10°C
$509 Vol.
4%
11°C
$375 Vol.
13%
12°C
$267 Vol.
29%
13°C
$339 Vol.
35%
14°C
$250 Vol.
22%
15°C
$664 Vol.
7%
16°C
$265 Vol.
2%
17°C
$640 Vol.
1%
18°C or higher
$814 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) project a high of 16°C in Istanbul on April 17 under partly cloudy to overcast skies with northerly winds up to 29 km/h and humidity 60-88%, but trader-implied odds favor 13°C at 35% amid model ensemble uncertainty from ECMWF and GFS runs clustering 12-14°C due to persistent cool air advection and cloud-induced suppression of daytime heating. Current April 15 observations hit 18°C amid very cloudy conditions, yet a fresh northerly flow risks capping peaks lower, with 12°C viable if overcast dominates early and 14°C possible on partial clearing. Key differentiator: timing of cloud maxima and wind shear per hourly model outputs; watch MGM's April 16 update for refined guidance ahead of resolution via official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 15, 2026, 12:22 AM ET
音量
$5,796終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) project a high of 16°C in Istanbul on April 17 under partly cloudy to overcast skies with northerly winds up to 29 km/h and humidity 60-88%, but trader-implied odds favor 13°C at 35% amid model ensemble uncertainty from ECMWF and GFS runs clustering 12-14°C due to persistent cool air advection and cloud-induced suppression of daytime heating. Current April 15 observations hit 18°C amid very cloudy conditions, yet a fresh northerly flow risks capping peaks lower, with 12°C viable if overcast dominates early and 14°C possible on partial clearing. Key differentiator: timing of cloud maxima and wind shear per hourly model outputs; watch MGM's April 16 update for refined guidance ahead of resolution via official airport measurements.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$5,796終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:22 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) project a high of 16°C in Istanbul on April 17 under partly cloudy to overcast skies with northerly winds up to 29 km/h and humidity 60-88%, but trader-implied odds favor 13°C at 35% amid model ensemble uncertainty from ECMWF and GFS runs clustering 12-14°C due to persistent cool air advection and cloud-induced suppression of daytime heating. Current April 15 observations hit 18°C amid very cloudy conditions, yet a fresh northerly flow risks capping peaks lower, with 12°C viable if overcast dominates early and 14°C possible on partial clearing. Key differentiator: timing of cloud maxima and wind shear per hourly model outputs; watch MGM's April 16 update for refined guidance ahead of resolution via official airport measurements.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
外部リンクに注意してください。
外部リンクに注意してください。
よくある質問