Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 64-65°F (36%) for Los Angeles on April 12, closely trailed by 62-63°F (29%), reflecting National Weather Service observations of recent highs around 64°F amid a persistent marine layer of low stratus clouds advected onshore by light southwest winds. Cool sea surface temperatures near 58°F sustain this layer, suppressing daytime heating and capping peaks in the low-to-mid 60s°F, well below the April climatological average of 70°F. Differentiating factors include the timing of potential afternoon cloud burn-off—earlier clearing via stronger solar insolation could nudge toward 66-67°F (18%), while prolonged overcast favors cooler outcomes. New NOAA model runs and hourly observations expected overnight may sharpen these market-implied odds ahead of resolution at Los Angeles International Airport.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 12?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 12?
64-65°F 36%
62-63°F 29%
66-67°F 19%
68-69°F 4.6%
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
29%
64-65°F
36%
66-67°F
23%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
<1%
64-65°F 36%
62-63°F 29%
66-67°F 19%
68-69°F 4.6%
55°F or below
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
1%
60-61°F
4%
62-63°F
29%
64-65°F
36%
66-67°F
23%
68-69°F
5%
70-71°F
2%
72-73°F
1%
74°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 8, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket tilts toward a high of 64-65°F (36%) for Los Angeles on April 12, closely trailed by 62-63°F (29%), reflecting National Weather Service observations of recent highs around 64°F amid a persistent marine layer of low stratus clouds advected onshore by light southwest winds. Cool sea surface temperatures near 58°F sustain this layer, suppressing daytime heating and capping peaks in the low-to-mid 60s°F, well below the April climatological average of 70°F. Differentiating factors include the timing of potential afternoon cloud burn-off—earlier clearing via stronger solar insolation could nudge toward 66-67°F (18%), while prolonged overcast favors cooler outcomes. New NOAA model runs and hourly observations expected overnight may sharpen these market-implied odds ahead of resolution at Los Angeles International Airport.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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