PAGASA's latest extended weather outlook forecasts a Metro Manila high of 33°C on April 17 under a ridge of high pressure area promoting fair skies and light south winds, yet trader consensus tilts toward 34°C at 33% implied probability, closely trailed by 35°C, due to recent observational peaks like 34.4°C on April 15 amid peak dry-season solar insolation. Differentiating factors include urban heat island effects amplifying station readings in Quezon City, potential sea breeze moderation versus low cloud cover allowing greater heating, and isolated thunderstorms that could cap peaks at 33°C or enable spikes to 35°C. Historical April averages hover near 33°C, but model uncertainty persists ahead of tomorrow's 4 PM PAGASA update and final observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Manila on April 17?
Highest temperature in Manila on April 17?
34°C 33%
35°C 26%
33°C 19%
36°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/04/17
28°C or below
1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
5%
33°C
19%
34°C
33%
35°C
26%
36°C
14%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
2%
34°C 33%
35°C 26%
33°C 19%
36°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/04/17
28°C or below
$1,993 Vol.
1%
29°C
$666 Vol.
1%
30°C
$793 Vol.
1%
31°C
$992 Vol.
2%
32°C
$425 Vol.
5%
33°C
$161 Vol.
19%
34°C
$135 Vol.
33%
35°C
$130 Vol.
26%
36°C
$159 Vol.
14%
37°C
$432 Vol.
3%
38°C or higher
$539 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest extended weather outlook forecasts a Metro Manila high of 33°C on April 17 under a ridge of high pressure area promoting fair skies and light south winds, yet trader consensus tilts toward 34°C at 33% implied probability, closely trailed by 35°C, due to recent observational peaks like 34.4°C on April 15 amid peak dry-season solar insolation. Differentiating factors include urban heat island effects amplifying station readings in Quezon City, potential sea breeze moderation versus low cloud cover allowing greater heating, and isolated thunderstorms that could cap peaks at 33°C or enable spikes to 35°C. Historical April averages hover near 33°C, but model uncertainty persists ahead of tomorrow's 4 PM PAGASA update and final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 15, 2026, 12:46 AM ET
音量
$6,426終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:46 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.PAGASA's latest extended weather outlook forecasts a Metro Manila high of 33°C on April 17 under a ridge of high pressure area promoting fair skies and light south winds, yet trader consensus tilts toward 34°C at 33% implied probability, closely trailed by 35°C, due to recent observational peaks like 34.4°C on April 15 amid peak dry-season solar insolation. Differentiating factors include urban heat island effects amplifying station readings in Quezon City, potential sea breeze moderation versus low cloud cover allowing greater heating, and isolated thunderstorms that could cap peaks at 33°C or enable spikes to 35°C. Historical April averages hover near 33°C, but model uncertainty persists ahead of tomorrow's 4 PM PAGASA update and final observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$6,426終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:46 AM ETPAGASA's latest extended weather outlook forecasts a Metro Manila high of 33°C on April 17 under a ridge of high pressure area promoting fair skies and light south winds, yet trader consensus tilts toward 34°C at 33% implied probability, closely trailed by 35°C, due to recent observational peaks like 34.4°C on April 15 amid peak dry-season solar insolation. Differentiating factors include urban heat island effects amplifying station readings in Quezon City, potential sea breeze moderation versus low cloud cover allowing greater heating, and isolated thunderstorms that could cap peaks at 33°C or enable spikes to 35°C. Historical April averages hover near 33°C, but model uncertainty persists ahead of tomorrow's 4 PM PAGASA update and final observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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