The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest regional forecast for the Valle de México projects a maximum temperature of 25–27°C in Mexico City today, April 12, aligning with clear skies, light winds, and seasonal dry conditions that promote daytime heating at the city's 2,230-meter elevation. This strong model consensus from multiple updates over the past 24–48 hours—consistent highs of 24–27°C—underpins the 98% market-implied probability for 23°C or higher, reflecting trader confidence in official projections backed by historical April averages near 25°C at Benito Juárez International Airport, the market's resolution source. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud cover, afternoon showers, or a sudden influx of cooler northerly air, though current guidance shows low precipitation risk; intraday observations will finalize the outcome by evening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 12?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 12?
23°C or higher 97.4%
22°C <1%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
$14,738 Vol.
$14,738 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
97%
23°C or higher 97.4%
22°C <1%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
$14,738 Vol.
$14,738 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C or higher
97%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 8, 2026, 12:16 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional (SMN) latest regional forecast for the Valle de México projects a maximum temperature of 25–27°C in Mexico City today, April 12, aligning with clear skies, light winds, and seasonal dry conditions that promote daytime heating at the city's 2,230-meter elevation. This strong model consensus from multiple updates over the past 24–48 hours—consistent highs of 24–27°C—underpins the 98% market-implied probability for 23°C or higher, reflecting trader confidence in official projections backed by historical April averages near 25°C at Benito Juárez International Airport, the market's resolution source. Realistic challenges include unexpected cloud cover, afternoon showers, or a sudden influx of cooler northerly air, though current guidance shows low precipitation risk; intraday observations will finalize the outcome by evening.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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