The latest forecast from Mexico's National Meteorological Service (SMN) estimates a maximum temperature of 25-27°C in Mexico City on April 13, aligning with trader consensus assigning 77% implied probability to 25°C or higher amid climatological April highs averaging 26°C at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Recent observations show cooler highs around 21-23°C on April 11-12 due to cloudy skies and scattered showers from a moist airflow, but model consensus anticipates partial clearing and typical daytime heating under lighter winds. A 19.5% chance on 24°C reflects uncertainty from potential afternoon thunderstorms (5-25 mm possible), which could suppress peaks; final SMN updates and official airport observations will refine this ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 13?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 13?
25°C or higher 73%
24°C 20%
23°C 8.1%
21°C <1%
$22,395 Vol.
$22,395 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
8%
24°C
24%
25°C or higher
73%
25°C or higher 73%
24°C 20%
23°C 8.1%
21°C <1%
$22,395 Vol.
$22,395 Vol.
15°C or below
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
8%
24°C
24%
25°C or higher
73%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 9, 2026, 12:23 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The latest forecast from Mexico's National Meteorological Service (SMN) estimates a maximum temperature of 25-27°C in Mexico City on April 13, aligning with trader consensus assigning 77% implied probability to 25°C or higher amid climatological April highs averaging 26°C at the city's 2,240-meter elevation. Recent observations show cooler highs around 21-23°C on April 11-12 due to cloudy skies and scattered showers from a moist airflow, but model consensus anticipates partial clearing and typical daytime heating under lighter winds. A 19.5% chance on 24°C reflects uncertainty from potential afternoon thunderstorms (5-25 mm possible), which could suppress peaks; final SMN updates and official airport observations will refine this ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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