The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest forecast, issued April 15, projects a maximum temperature of 28–30°C in Mexico City on April 17 under partly cloudy skies with no rain expected and light northerly winds of 10–20 km/h gusting to 40 km/h. This range aligns precisely with trader consensus, where 29°C leads at 31% implied probability, flanked by 28°C and 30°C at 24.5% each, reflecting yesterday's observed 28.0°C high and a modest warming trend amid dry conditions. Key differentiators include variable afternoon cloud cover impacting solar heating, urban heat island effects, and measurement at Benito Juárez International Airport; new GFS and ECMWF model runs overnight could refine this tight spread before resolution. Historical April averages hover near 26°C, underscoring above-normal warmth from persistent high pressure.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 17?
Highest temperature in Mexico City on April 17?
29°C 36%
28°C 25%
30°C 24%
31°C 12%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
7%
28°C
25%
29°C
36%
30°C
24%
31°C
12%
32°C
3%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
29°C 36%
28°C 25%
30°C 24%
31°C 12%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
2%
27°C
7%
28°C
25%
29°C
36%
30°C
24%
31°C
12%
32°C
3%
33°C
3%
34°C
1%
35°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The Servicio Meteorológico Nacional's latest forecast, issued April 15, projects a maximum temperature of 28–30°C in Mexico City on April 17 under partly cloudy skies with no rain expected and light northerly winds of 10–20 km/h gusting to 40 km/h. This range aligns precisely with trader consensus, where 29°C leads at 31% implied probability, flanked by 28°C and 30°C at 24.5% each, reflecting yesterday's observed 28.0°C high and a modest warming trend amid dry conditions. Key differentiators include variable afternoon cloud cover impacting solar heating, urban heat island effects, and measurement at Benito Juárez International Airport; new GFS and ECMWF model runs overnight could refine this tight spread before resolution. Historical April averages hover near 26°C, underscoring above-normal warmth from persistent high pressure.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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