Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projects Seoul's highest temperature on April 17 near 18°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, anchoring trader consensus at 58% implied probability for 18°C or higher as the leading outcome. This reflects an ongoing mid-April warm spell, where unseasonal highs neared 30°C earlier this week due to a persistent high-pressure ridge channeling mild southerly flows, though slight cooling is anticipated from increased cloudiness and evening temperature drops observed in recent KMA hourly data. Climatological norms for mid-April place daily highs around 17°C, with model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS showing minor spread between 16–19°C; watch for KMA updates today, as urban heat island effects and boundary layer mixing could nudge the peak higher.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Seoul on April 17?
Highest temperature in Seoul on April 17?
18°C or higher 60%
17°C 19%
16°C 16%
15°C 4.0%
$41,697 Vol.
$41,697 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
3%
15°C
4%
16°C
16%
17°C
19%
18°C or higher
60%
18°C or higher 60%
17°C 19%
16°C 16%
15°C 4.0%
$41,697 Vol.
$41,697 Vol.
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
2%
14°C
3%
15°C
4%
16°C
16%
17°C
19%
18°C or higher
60%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Incheon Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-range forecast projects Seoul's highest temperature on April 17 near 18°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, anchoring trader consensus at 58% implied probability for 18°C or higher as the leading outcome. This reflects an ongoing mid-April warm spell, where unseasonal highs neared 30°C earlier this week due to a persistent high-pressure ridge channeling mild southerly flows, though slight cooling is anticipated from increased cloudiness and evening temperature drops observed in recent KMA hourly data. Climatological norms for mid-April place daily highs around 17°C, with model ensembles like ECMWF and GFS showing minor spread between 16–19°C; watch for KMA updates today, as urban heat island effects and boundary layer mixing could nudge the peak higher.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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