Diverging numerical weather model outputs explain the tight race among 28°C (21.5%), 29°C (35.5%), and 30°C (29.5%) as trader-implied odds for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 17. The Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and China Meteorological Administration forecast a 28°C high under persistent cloudy conditions, limiting solar insolation, while international guidance from BBC Weather and UK Met Office points to 30-31°C with sunny intervals and southerly winds enhancing daytime heating. April 16 observations trended toward 29-30°C amid similar cloudiness, heightening uncertainty from coastal sea breeze timing and urban heat effects. Overnight model updates from GFS and ECMWF ensembles, plus Bao'an Airport readings, could tip the balance before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?
29°C 37%
30°C 30%
28°C 22%
31°C 4.9%
新規
$20,458 Vol.
新規
$20,458 Vol.
2026/04/17
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
2%
28°C
22%
29°C
37%
30°C
30%
31°C
5%
32°C or higher
3%
29°C 37%
30°C 30%
28°C 22%
31°C 4.9%
新規
$20,458 Vol.
新規
$20,458 Vol.
2026/04/17
22°C or below
$1,281 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$2,359 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,620 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,727 Vol.
1%
26°C
$4,163 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,327 Vol.
2%
28°C
$839 Vol.
22%
29°C
$422 Vol.
37%
30°C
$1,196 Vol.
30%
31°C
$2,293 Vol.
5%
32°C or higher
$1,250 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Diverging numerical weather model outputs explain the tight race among 28°C (21.5%), 29°C (35.5%), and 30°C (29.5%) as trader-implied odds for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 17. The Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and China Meteorological Administration forecast a 28°C high under persistent cloudy conditions, limiting solar insolation, while international guidance from BBC Weather and UK Met Office points to 30-31°C with sunny intervals and southerly winds enhancing daytime heating. April 16 observations trended toward 29-30°C amid similar cloudiness, heightening uncertainty from coastal sea breeze timing and urban heat effects. Overnight model updates from GFS and ECMWF ensembles, plus Bao'an Airport readings, could tip the balance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 15, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
音量
$20,458終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:38 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Diverging numerical weather model outputs explain the tight race among 28°C (21.5%), 29°C (35.5%), and 30°C (29.5%) as trader-implied odds for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 17. The Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and China Meteorological Administration forecast a 28°C high under persistent cloudy conditions, limiting solar insolation, while international guidance from BBC Weather and UK Met Office points to 30-31°C with sunny intervals and southerly winds enhancing daytime heating. April 16 observations trended toward 29-30°C amid similar cloudiness, heightening uncertainty from coastal sea breeze timing and urban heat effects. Overnight model updates from GFS and ECMWF ensembles, plus Bao'an Airport readings, could tip the balance before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$20,458終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:38 AM ETDiverging numerical weather model outputs explain the tight race among 28°C (21.5%), 29°C (35.5%), and 30°C (29.5%) as trader-implied odds for Shenzhen's highest temperature on April 17. The Shenzhen Meteorological Bureau and China Meteorological Administration forecast a 28°C high under persistent cloudy conditions, limiting solar insolation, while international guidance from BBC Weather and UK Met Office points to 30-31°C with sunny intervals and southerly winds enhancing daytime heating. April 16 observations trended toward 29-30°C amid similar cloudiness, heightening uncertainty from coastal sea breeze timing and urban heat effects. Overnight model updates from GFS and ECMWF ensembles, plus Bao'an Airport readings, could tip the balance before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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