The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast, updated April 16, projects a daytime high near 30°C in Taipei on April 17 under partly clear skies with isolated showers and mostly cloudy periods overnight, driving closely matched market-implied probabilities for 28°C (22.5%) and 29°C (21.5%) over 30°C (16.0%). Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty in cloud cover extent, which could reduce solar insolation and cap peak afternoon heating despite urban heat island effects boosting temperatures above rural baselines; sea breezes may further moderate highs. Today's observed high of 30°C provides precedent, but April climatology averages 26°C with variable insolation. Watch evening CWA updates and tomorrow's hourly observations for shifts, as short-range model ensembles show minor divergences.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日4月17日の台北の最高気温は?
4月17日の台北の最高気温は?
29°C 22%
28°C 19%
30℃ 16%
31°C 11%
$18,870 Vol.
$18,870 Vol.
24℃以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
8%
28°C
19%
29°C
22%
30℃
16%
31°C
11%
32°C
4%
33℃
2%
34℃以上
1%
29°C 22%
28°C 19%
30℃ 16%
31°C 11%
$18,870 Vol.
$18,870 Vol.
24℃以下
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
3%
27°C
8%
28°C
19%
29°C
22%
30℃
16%
31°C
11%
32°C
4%
33℃
2%
34℃以上
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The Central Weather Administration's latest forecast, updated April 16, projects a daytime high near 30°C in Taipei on April 17 under partly clear skies with isolated showers and mostly cloudy periods overnight, driving closely matched market-implied probabilities for 28°C (22.5%) and 29°C (21.5%) over 30°C (16.0%). Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty in cloud cover extent, which could reduce solar insolation and cap peak afternoon heating despite urban heat island effects boosting temperatures above rural baselines; sea breezes may further moderate highs. Today's observed high of 30°C provides precedent, but April climatology averages 26°C with variable insolation. Watch evening CWA updates and tomorrow's hourly observations for shifts, as short-range model ensembles show minor divergences.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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外部リンクに注意してください。
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