Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17 at 14-16°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning trader sentiment with 15°C leading at 34.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 16°C (26.5%) and 14°C (25.5%). This consensus reflects April 16 observations of mild highs near 15°C amid a weak high-pressure ridge over Central Europe, allowing moderate diurnal heating from a cool continental air mass. Differentiating factors include model spread on low-level moisture persistence—clearer afternoons in some runs boost toward 16-17°C, while residual clouds from prior showers cap others at 14°C—highlighting inherent short-range uncertainty in boundary layer evolution. IMGW updates and Chopin Airport data later today will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 17?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on April 17?
15°C 35%
16°C 27%
14°C 24%
17°C or higher 12%
新規
新規
2026/04/17
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
4%
13°C
8%
14°C
24%
15°C
35%
16°C
27%
17°C or higher
12%
15°C 35%
16°C 27%
14°C 24%
17°C or higher 12%
新規
新規
2026/04/17
7°C or below
$844 Vol.
<1%
8°C
$1,338 Vol.
<1%
9°C
$1,639 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$753 Vol.
1%
11°C
$1,168 Vol.
1%
12°C
$593 Vol.
4%
13°C
$886 Vol.
8%
14°C
$467 Vol.
24%
15°C
$336 Vol.
35%
16°C
$557 Vol.
27%
17°C or higher
$693 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17 at 14-16°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning trader sentiment with 15°C leading at 34.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 16°C (26.5%) and 14°C (25.5%). This consensus reflects April 16 observations of mild highs near 15°C amid a weak high-pressure ridge over Central Europe, allowing moderate diurnal heating from a cool continental air mass. Differentiating factors include model spread on low-level moisture persistence—clearer afternoons in some runs boost toward 16-17°C, while residual clouds from prior showers cap others at 14°C—highlighting inherent short-range uncertainty in boundary layer evolution. IMGW updates and Chopin Airport data later today will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ET
音量
$9,275終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17 at 14-16°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning trader sentiment with 15°C leading at 34.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 16°C (26.5%) and 14°C (25.5%). This consensus reflects April 16 observations of mild highs near 15°C amid a weak high-pressure ridge over Central Europe, allowing moderate diurnal heating from a cool continental air mass. Differentiating factors include model spread on low-level moisture persistence—clearer afternoons in some runs boost toward 16-17°C, while residual clouds from prior showers cap others at 14°C—highlighting inherent short-range uncertainty in boundary layer evolution. IMGW updates and Chopin Airport data later today will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$9,275終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:24 AM ETLatest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts project Warsaw's highest temperature on April 17 at 14-16°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds, aligning trader sentiment with 15°C leading at 34.5% implied probability, closely trailed by 16°C (26.5%) and 14°C (25.5%). This consensus reflects April 16 observations of mild highs near 15°C amid a weak high-pressure ridge over Central Europe, allowing moderate diurnal heating from a cool continental air mass. Differentiating factors include model spread on low-level moisture persistence—clearer afternoons in some runs boost toward 16-17°C, while residual clouds from prior showers cap others at 14°C—highlighting inherent short-range uncertainty in boundary layer evolution. IMGW updates and Chopin Airport data later today will refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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