Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 35.5% probability for a 27°C high in Wuhan on April 17, closely trailed by 26°C at 26.5% and 28°C at 16.0%, reflecting ensemble forecast uncertainty from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models, which project daytime peaks between 25-28°C amid variable cloud cover and possible early showers. Recent cooler highs around 20-22°C earlier this week from persistent rain have given way to a warming trend with southerly winds enhancing warm air advection, but lingering moisture could limit solar insolation and cap temperatures at 26°C versus sunnier scenarios pushing toward 28°C. Key differentiators include morning precipitation timing and afternoon clearing, with official station measurements at Wuhan Tianhe resolving the market; watch CMA's evening update for refined guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 17?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on April 17?
27°C 36%
26°C 26%
28°C 16%
25°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/04/17
23°C or below
2%
24°C
6%
25°C
14%
26°C
26%
27°C
36%
28°C
16%
29°C
10%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C or higher
<1%
27°C 36%
26°C 26%
28°C 16%
25°C 14%
新規
新規
2026/04/17
23°C or below
$583 Vol.
2%
24°C
$541 Vol.
6%
25°C
$166 Vol.
14%
26°C
$218 Vol.
26%
27°C
$307 Vol.
36%
28°C
$142 Vol.
16%
29°C
$447 Vol.
10%
30°C
$419 Vol.
1%
31°C
$1,247 Vol.
1%
32°C
$716 Vol.
1%
33°C or higher
$2,815 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 35.5% probability for a 27°C high in Wuhan on April 17, closely trailed by 26°C at 26.5% and 28°C at 16.0%, reflecting ensemble forecast uncertainty from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models, which project daytime peaks between 25-28°C amid variable cloud cover and possible early showers. Recent cooler highs around 20-22°C earlier this week from persistent rain have given way to a warming trend with southerly winds enhancing warm air advection, but lingering moisture could limit solar insolation and cap temperatures at 26°C versus sunnier scenarios pushing toward 28°C. Key differentiators include morning precipitation timing and afternoon clearing, with official station measurements at Wuhan Tianhe resolving the market; watch CMA's evening update for refined guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
音量
$7,601終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket implies a 35.5% probability for a 27°C high in Wuhan on April 17, closely trailed by 26°C at 26.5% and 28°C at 16.0%, reflecting ensemble forecast uncertainty from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models, which project daytime peaks between 25-28°C amid variable cloud cover and possible early showers. Recent cooler highs around 20-22°C earlier this week from persistent rain have given way to a warming trend with southerly winds enhancing warm air advection, but lingering moisture could limit solar insolation and cap temperatures at 26°C versus sunnier scenarios pushing toward 28°C. Key differentiators include morning precipitation timing and afternoon clearing, with official station measurements at Wuhan Tianhe resolving the market; watch CMA's evening update for refined guidance.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$7,601終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 12:31 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket implies a 35.5% probability for a 27°C high in Wuhan on April 17, closely trailed by 26°C at 26.5% and 28°C at 16.0%, reflecting ensemble forecast uncertainty from the China Meteorological Administration (CMA), ECMWF, and GFS models, which project daytime peaks between 25-28°C amid variable cloud cover and possible early showers. Recent cooler highs around 20-22°C earlier this week from persistent rain have given way to a warming trend with southerly winds enhancing warm air advection, but lingering moisture could limit solar insolation and cap temperatures at 26°C versus sunnier scenarios pushing toward 28°C. Key differentiators include morning precipitation timing and afternoon clearing, with official station measurements at Wuhan Tianhe resolving the market; watch CMA's evening update for refined guidance.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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