The 8th District’s heavy Democratic tilt, with roughly 52% registered Democrats versus 11% Republicans and strong performance in recent cycles, underpins the 94.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Robert Menendez Jr. secured the nomination in the June 2 primary by a wide margin over his challenger, preserving party unity ahead of the November general election against Republican Anthony Valdes. Limited Republican infrastructure, modest fundraising prospects, and the absence of competitive polling have kept the race non-competitive in trader assessments. Late developments that could narrow the gap remain narrow, such as an unforeseen scandal affecting the incumbent or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave that boosts turnout among unaffiliated voters.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日$14,815 Vol.
$14,815 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
95%
共和党
6%
$14,815 Vol.
$14,815 Vol.
2026/11/03
民主党
$9,415 Vol.
95%
共和党
$5,400 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The 8th District’s heavy Democratic tilt, with roughly 52% registered Democrats versus 11% Republicans and strong performance in recent cycles, underpins the 94.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Robert Menendez Jr. secured the nomination in the June 2 primary by a wide margin over his challenger, preserving party unity ahead of the November general election against Republican Anthony Valdes. Limited Republican infrastructure, modest fundraising prospects, and the absence of competitive polling have kept the race non-competitive in trader assessments. Late developments that could narrow the gap remain narrow, such as an unforeseen scandal affecting the incumbent or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave that boosts turnout among unaffiliated voters.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
マーケット開始日： Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
音量
$14,815終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The 8th District’s heavy Democratic tilt, with roughly 52% registered Democrats versus 11% Republicans and strong performance in recent cycles, underpins the 94.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Robert Menendez Jr. secured the nomination in the June 2 primary by a wide margin over his challenger, preserving party unity ahead of the November general election against Republican Anthony Valdes. Limited Republican infrastructure, modest fundraising prospects, and the absence of competitive polling have kept the race non-competitive in trader assessments. Late developments that could narrow the gap remain narrow, such as an unforeseen scandal affecting the incumbent or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave that boosts turnout among unaffiliated voters.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
音量
$14,815終了日
2026/11/03マーケット開始日
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 8th District’s heavy Democratic tilt, with roughly 52% registered Democrats versus 11% Republicans and strong performance in recent cycles, underpins the 94.5% consensus for the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Robert Menendez Jr. secured the nomination in the June 2 primary by a wide margin over his challenger, preserving party unity ahead of the November general election against Republican Anthony Valdes. Limited Republican infrastructure, modest fundraising prospects, and the absence of competitive polling have kept the race non-competitive in trader assessments. Late developments that could narrow the gap remain narrow, such as an unforeseen scandal affecting the incumbent or an unusually strong national Republican midterm wave that boosts turnout among unaffiliated voters.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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