In the open contest to succeed term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy, trader consensus favors conservative activist Bernadette Wilson at 30.5% over Democrat Tom Begich's 25.5% odds for the November 3 winner, amid a crowded field fragmenting the Republican vote ahead of the August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary. A March Alaska Survey Research poll of 1,061 likely voters showed Begich leading the primary at 19.4%, Wilson at 13.6%, Anchorage Mayor David Bronson at 9.9%, and Matt Claman at 9.7%, highlighting split GOP support among contenders like Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom and AG Treg Taylor that could enable Democratic advancement under ranked-choice voting. Recent Mat-Su forums, strong six-figure fundraising by top candidates in February, and former President Trump's April endorsement of the RCV repeal ballot measure keep the race tight; endorsements, scandals, or new polls could drive consolidation and separation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트버나데트 윌슨 31%
Tom Begich 26%
트렉 테일러 14.5%
낸시 달스트롬 11.1%
$821,758 거래량
$821,758 거래량

버나데트 윌슨
31%

Tom Begich
26%

트렉 테일러
14%

낸시 달스트롬
11%

조너선 크라이스-톰킨스
4%

데이비드 브론슨
3%

클릭 비숍
2%

맷 클레이먼
1%

아담 크럼
<1%

리사 머카우스키
<1%

메리 펠톨라
<1%

맷 헤일랄라
<1%

에드나 드브리스
<1%

셸리 휴즈
<1%

행크 크롤
<1%

제임스 파킨
<1%

브루스 월든
<1%
버나데트 윌슨 31%
Tom Begich 26%
트렉 테일러 14.5%
낸시 달스트롬 11.1%
$821,758 거래량
$821,758 거래량

버나데트 윌슨
31%

Tom Begich
26%

트렉 테일러
14%

낸시 달스트롬
11%

조너선 크라이스-톰킨스
4%

데이비드 브론슨
3%

클릭 비숍
2%

맷 클레이먼
1%

아담 크럼
<1%

리사 머카우스키
<1%

메리 펠톨라
<1%

맷 헤일랄라
<1%

에드나 드브리스
<1%

셸리 휴즈
<1%

행크 크롤
<1%

제임스 파킨
<1%

브루스 월든
<1%
If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the results of the election are not confirmed by July 31, 2027, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in Alaska for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the open contest to succeed term-limited Gov. Mike Dunleavy, trader consensus favors conservative activist Bernadette Wilson at 30.5% over Democrat Tom Begich's 25.5% odds for the November 3 winner, amid a crowded field fragmenting the Republican vote ahead of the August 18 nonpartisan top-four primary. A March Alaska Survey Research poll of 1,061 likely voters showed Begich leading the primary at 19.4%, Wilson at 13.6%, Anchorage Mayor David Bronson at 9.9%, and Matt Claman at 9.7%, highlighting split GOP support among contenders like Lt. Gov. Nancy Dahlstrom and AG Treg Taylor that could enable Democratic advancement under ranked-choice voting. Recent Mat-Su forums, strong six-figure fundraising by top candidates in February, and former President Trump's April endorsement of the RCV repeal ballot measure keep the race tight; endorsements, scandals, or new polls could drive consolidation and separation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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