Latest National Weather Service forecasts for New York City indicate a high temperature clustering around 78-79°F on April 17, driving trader consensus with 35.5% implied probability on that outcome, as high-pressure ridging builds over the Northeast to deliver warm southerly flow and ample sunshine for peak diurnal heating. Over the past 24 hours, updated GFS and ECMWF model runs have converged on this warmer outlook—up slightly from prior ensembles—following observed above-normal temperatures through April 15 per recent NWS climate summaries, amid low wind shear and minimal cloud interference. Competing odds reflect uncertainty in boundary layer mixing, with 24.5% on 77°F or below if cooler marine air intrudes, and 23.5% on 80-81°F should heating exceed expectations. Watch the 00Z model refresh tonight for potential shifts ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트4월 17일에 뉴욕에서 가장 높은 온도를 기록하셨나요?
4월 17일에 뉴욕에서 가장 높은 온도를 기록하셨나요?
78~79°F 37%
77°F 이하 26%
80-81°F 24%
82-83°F 14%
신규
$25,786 거래량
신규
$25,786 거래량
2026.04.17
77°F 이하
26%
78~79°F
37%
80-81°F
24%
82-83°F
14%
84-85°F
5%
86-87°F
1%
88-89°F
1%
90-91°F
<1%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F 이상
<1%
78~79°F 37%
77°F 이하 26%
80-81°F 24%
82-83°F 14%
신규
$25,786 거래량
신규
$25,786 거래량
2026.04.17
77°F 이하
$3,736 거래량
26%
78~79°F
$2,280 거래량
37%
80-81°F
$1,365 거래량
24%
82-83°F
$1,012 거래량
14%
84-85°F
$1,563 거래량
5%
86-87°F
$1,766 거래량
1%
88-89°F
$4,676 거래량
1%
90-91°F
$1,227 거래량
<1%
92-93°F
$2,112 거래량
<1%
94-95°F
$2,839 거래량
<1%
96°F 이상
$3,242 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for New York City indicate a high temperature clustering around 78-79°F on April 17, driving trader consensus with 35.5% implied probability on that outcome, as high-pressure ridging builds over the Northeast to deliver warm southerly flow and ample sunshine for peak diurnal heating. Over the past 24 hours, updated GFS and ECMWF model runs have converged on this warmer outlook—up slightly from prior ensembles—following observed above-normal temperatures through April 15 per recent NWS climate summaries, amid low wind shear and minimal cloud interference. Competing odds reflect uncertainty in boundary layer mixing, with 24.5% on 77°F or below if cooler marine air intrudes, and 23.5% on 80-81°F should heating exceed expectations. Watch the 00Z model refresh tonight for potential shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
마켓 개설일: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
거래량
$25,786종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service forecasts for New York City indicate a high temperature clustering around 78-79°F on April 17, driving trader consensus with 35.5% implied probability on that outcome, as high-pressure ridging builds over the Northeast to deliver warm southerly flow and ample sunshine for peak diurnal heating. Over the past 24 hours, updated GFS and ECMWF model runs have converged on this warmer outlook—up slightly from prior ensembles—following observed above-normal temperatures through April 15 per recent NWS climate summaries, amid low wind shear and minimal cloud interference. Competing odds reflect uncertainty in boundary layer mixing, with 24.5% on 77°F or below if cooler marine air intrudes, and 23.5% on 80-81°F should heating exceed expectations. Watch the 00Z model refresh tonight for potential shifts ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
거래량
$25,786종료일
2026.04.17마켓 개설일
Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ETLatest National Weather Service forecasts for New York City indicate a high temperature clustering around 78-79°F on April 17, driving trader consensus with 35.5% implied probability on that outcome, as high-pressure ridging builds over the Northeast to deliver warm southerly flow and ample sunshine for peak diurnal heating. Over the past 24 hours, updated GFS and ECMWF model runs have converged on this warmer outlook—up slightly from prior ensembles—following observed above-normal temperatures through April 15 per recent NWS climate summaries, amid low wind shear and minimal cloud interference. Competing odds reflect uncertainty in boundary layer mixing, with 24.5% on 77°F or below if cooler marine air intrudes, and 23.5% on 80-81°F should heating exceed expectations. Watch the 00Z model refresh tonight for potential shifts ahead of resolution.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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