Forecast consensus from major models such as ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s July 23 high near 29–30 °C under persistent high pressure and clear skies that favor strong daytime solar heating in the region’s continental climate. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, wind speed, and exact cloud cover across ensemble members create the tight clustering around these values, with lower probabilities assigned to 28 °C or below and only minimal odds for 31 °C or higher. Historical July maxima in Ankara average near 31 °C, but recent model runs have trended slightly cooler, aligning with the balanced market-implied odds between 29 °C and 30 °C. Updated short-range guidance and any late adjustments in the 48-hour forecast window will be the next key inputs for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月23日安卡拉的最高溫度？
7月23日安卡拉的最高溫度？
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$68,552 交易量
$68,552 交易量
2026-07-23
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$68,552 交易量
$68,552 交易量
2026-07-23
26°C or below
$6,166 交易量
No
27°C
$7,994 交易量
No
28°C
$9,880 交易量
No
29°C
$9,525 交易量
No
30°C
$16,237 交易量
Yes
31°C
$7,347 交易量
No
32°C
$3,181 交易量
No
33°C
$7,289 交易量
No
34°C
$549 交易量
No
35°C
$141 交易量
No
36°C or higher
$241 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from major models such as ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s July 23 high near 29–30 °C under persistent high pressure and clear skies that favor strong daytime solar heating in the region’s continental climate. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, wind speed, and exact cloud cover across ensemble members create the tight clustering around these values, with lower probabilities assigned to 28 °C or below and only minimal odds for 31 °C or higher. Historical July maxima in Ankara average near 31 °C, but recent model runs have trended slightly cooler, aligning with the balanced market-implied odds between 29 °C and 30 °C. Updated short-range guidance and any late adjustments in the 48-hour forecast window will be the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
交易量
$68,552結束日期
2026-07-23市場開放時間
Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast consensus from major models such as ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s July 23 high near 29–30 °C under persistent high pressure and clear skies that favor strong daytime solar heating in the region’s continental climate. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, wind speed, and exact cloud cover across ensemble members create the tight clustering around these values, with lower probabilities assigned to 28 °C or below and only minimal odds for 31 °C or higher. Historical July maxima in Ankara average near 31 °C, but recent model runs have trended slightly cooler, aligning with the balanced market-implied odds between 29 °C and 30 °C. Updated short-range guidance and any late adjustments in the 48-hour forecast window will be the next key inputs for traders.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$68,552結束日期
2026-07-23市場開放時間
Jul 21, 2026, 12:02 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Forecast consensus from major models such as ECMWF and GFS places Ankara’s July 23 high near 29–30 °C under persistent high pressure and clear skies that favor strong daytime solar heating in the region’s continental climate. Small differences in boundary-layer mixing, wind speed, and exact cloud cover across ensemble members create the tight clustering around these values, with lower probabilities assigned to 28 °C or below and only minimal odds for 31 °C or higher. Historical July maxima in Ankara average near 31 °C, but recent model runs have trended slightly cooler, aligning with the balanced market-implied odds between 29 °C and 30 °C. Updated short-range guidance and any late adjustments in the 48-hour forecast window will be the next key inputs for traders.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions