Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 88-89°F (27.5%) and 90-91°F (26.5%) for Austin's highest temperature at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport on April 17, reflecting National Weather Service guidance for highs in the upper 80s to low 90s amid a persistent upper-level ridge promoting warm southerly flow and diurnal heating. Today's overcast conditions with 85°F at nearby stations underscore uncertainty in cloud cover and isolated thunderstorm potential, which could cap peaks at 88-89°F if persistent or allow 90-91°F with clearer skies and stronger boundary-layer mixing. Recent warm early-April trend, with daily highs in the 80s, has built this positioning, exceeding the 79°F climatological average; watch evening NWS forecast updates and model ensembles for refinements ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Austin on April 17?
Highest temperature in Austin on April 17?
90-91°F 29%
88-89°F 28%
86-87°F 17%
92-93°F 14%
77°F or below
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
28%
90-91°F
29%
92-93°F
14%
94-95°F
4%
96°F or higher
1%
90-91°F 29%
88-89°F 28%
86-87°F 17%
92-93°F 14%
77°F or below
1%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
1%
82-83°F
3%
84-85°F
9%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
28%
90-91°F
29%
92-93°F
14%
94-95°F
4%
96°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 88-89°F (27.5%) and 90-91°F (26.5%) for Austin's highest temperature at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport on April 17, reflecting National Weather Service guidance for highs in the upper 80s to low 90s amid a persistent upper-level ridge promoting warm southerly flow and diurnal heating. Today's overcast conditions with 85°F at nearby stations underscore uncertainty in cloud cover and isolated thunderstorm potential, which could cap peaks at 88-89°F if persistent or allow 90-91°F with clearer skies and stronger boundary-layer mixing. Recent warm early-April trend, with daily highs in the 80s, has built this positioning, exceeding the 79°F climatological average; watch evening NWS forecast updates and model ensembles for refinements ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions