**Trader consensus on the Polymarket for Chengdu’s highest temperature on June 11, 2026, has converged at 28°C with near-100% implied probability.** This positioning reflects climatological norms rather than short-term anomalies. June averages in the Sichuan Basin place typical daily highs at 28–30°C, with early-month values often near the lower end of that range according to long-term observational records. Current model guidance and real-time monitoring show no strong warming signals, such as anomalous subtropical ridging or reduced cloud cover that would push maxima above 29–30°C. Local factors reinforce stability: the basin’s frequent morning fog and humidity limit daytime heating, while urban heat-island effects in Chengdu remain modest on typical June days. No official advisories from Chinese meteorological agencies indicate heatwave conditions or record-challenging warmth for this date. The tight clustering around 28°C therefore represents traders’ assessment of baseline seasonal conditions holding steady. Realistic challenges would require an unexpected late surge in solar insolation or a shift in regional steering patterns—developments that would appear first in updated numerical weather prediction runs. With the market date now live, any revision would hinge on the final verified maximum reported by authoritative stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 11?
Highest temperature in Chengdu on June 11?
28°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
29°C <1%
$72,621 交易量
$72,621 交易量
2026-06-11
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
29°C <1%
$72,621 交易量
$72,621 交易量
2026-06-11
26°C or below
$7,378 交易量
No
27°C
$9,024 交易量
No
28°C
$18,063 交易量
Yes
29°C
$8,042 交易量
No
30°C
$7,343 交易量
No
31°C
$3,860 交易量
No
32°C
$5,040 交易量
No
33°C
$3,902 交易量
No
34°C
$3,955 交易量
No
35°C
$3,499 交易量
No
36°C or higher
$2,514 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the Polymarket for Chengdu’s highest temperature on June 11, 2026, has converged at 28°C with near-100% implied probability.** This positioning reflects climatological norms rather than short-term anomalies. June averages in the Sichuan Basin place typical daily highs at 28–30°C, with early-month values often near the lower end of that range according to long-term observational records. Current model guidance and real-time monitoring show no strong warming signals, such as anomalous subtropical ridging or reduced cloud cover that would push maxima above 29–30°C.
Local factors reinforce stability: the basin’s frequent morning fog and humidity limit daytime heating, while urban heat-island effects in Chengdu remain modest on typical June days. No official advisories from Chinese meteorological agencies indicate heatwave conditions or record-challenging warmth for this date. The tight clustering around 28°C therefore represents traders’ assessment of baseline seasonal conditions holding steady.
Realistic challenges would require an unexpected late surge in solar insolation or a shift in regional steering patterns—developments that would appear first in updated numerical weather prediction runs. With the market date now live, any revision would hinge on the final verified maximum reported by authoritative stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 9, 2026, 12:15 AM ET
交易量
$72,621結束日期
2026-06-11市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 12:15 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader consensus on the Polymarket for Chengdu’s highest temperature on June 11, 2026, has converged at 28°C with near-100% implied probability.** This positioning reflects climatological norms rather than short-term anomalies. June averages in the Sichuan Basin place typical daily highs at 28–30°C, with early-month values often near the lower end of that range according to long-term observational records. Current model guidance and real-time monitoring show no strong warming signals, such as anomalous subtropical ridging or reduced cloud cover that would push maxima above 29–30°C.
Local factors reinforce stability: the basin’s frequent morning fog and humidity limit daytime heating, while urban heat-island effects in Chengdu remain modest on typical June days. No official advisories from Chinese meteorological agencies indicate heatwave conditions or record-challenging warmth for this date. The tight clustering around 28°C therefore represents traders’ assessment of baseline seasonal conditions holding steady.
Realistic challenges would require an unexpected late surge in solar insolation or a shift in regional steering patterns—developments that would appear first in updated numerical weather prediction runs. With the market date now live, any revision would hinge on the final verified maximum reported by authoritative stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$72,621結束日期
2026-06-11市場開放時間
Jun 9, 2026, 12:15 AM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
**Trader consensus on the Polymarket for Chengdu’s highest temperature on June 11, 2026, has converged at 28°C with near-100% implied probability.** This positioning reflects climatological norms rather than short-term anomalies. June averages in the Sichuan Basin place typical daily highs at 28–30°C, with early-month values often near the lower end of that range according to long-term observational records. Current model guidance and real-time monitoring show no strong warming signals, such as anomalous subtropical ridging or reduced cloud cover that would push maxima above 29–30°C. Local factors reinforce stability: the basin’s frequent morning fog and humidity limit daytime heating, while urban heat-island effects in Chengdu remain modest on typical June days. No official advisories from Chinese meteorological agencies indicate heatwave conditions or record-challenging warmth for this date. The tight clustering around 28°C therefore represents traders’ assessment of baseline seasonal conditions holding steady. Realistic challenges would require an unexpected late surge in solar insolation or a shift in regional steering patterns—developments that would appear first in updated numerical weather prediction runs. With the market date now live, any revision would hinge on the final verified maximum reported by authoritative stations.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions