Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a peak temperature of 33°C in Chengdu today, aligning with the market's near-certain trader consensus at that level. This positioning reflects observed atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity and typical springtime high-pressure systems over the Sichuan Basin that limit rapid warming. Historical May averages for the region hover near 26–29°C, providing climatological context for why 34°C or higher remains improbable without an unexpected heat surge. Key variables that could alter the outcome include revisions in official reporting thresholds or localized microclimate effects near measurement stations. Updated observations later today will refine resolution criteria based on precise maximum readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於5月21日成都最高溫度？
5月21日成都最高溫度？
33°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$40,309 交易量
$40,309 交易量
2026-05-21
24°C或以下
否
25°C
否
26°C
否
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
否
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
是
34°C或以上
否
33°C 100.0%
24°C或以下 <1%
25°C <1%
26°C <1%
$40,309 交易量
$40,309 交易量
2026-05-21
24°C或以下
$353 交易量
否
25°C
$650 交易量
否
26°C
$983 交易量
否
27°C
$748 交易量
否
28°C
$1,556 交易量
否
29°C
$5,162 交易量
否
30°C
$6,377 交易量
否
31°C
$2,998 交易量
否
32°C
$7,898 交易量
否
33°C
$5,885 交易量
是
34°C或以上
$7,700 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a peak temperature of 33°C in Chengdu today, aligning with the market's near-certain trader consensus at that level. This positioning reflects observed atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity and typical springtime high-pressure systems over the Sichuan Basin that limit rapid warming. Historical May averages for the region hover near 26–29°C, providing climatological context for why 34°C or higher remains improbable without an unexpected heat surge. Key variables that could alter the outcome include revisions in official reporting thresholds or localized microclimate effects near measurement stations. Updated observations later today will refine resolution criteria based on precise maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$40,309結束日期
2026-05-21市場開放時間
May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a peak temperature of 33°C in Chengdu today, aligning with the market's near-certain trader consensus at that level. This positioning reflects observed atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity and typical springtime high-pressure systems over the Sichuan Basin that limit rapid warming. Historical May averages for the region hover near 26–29°C, providing climatological context for why 34°C or higher remains improbable without an unexpected heat surge. Key variables that could alter the outcome include revisions in official reporting thresholds or localized microclimate effects near measurement stations. Updated observations later today will refine resolution criteria based on precise maximum readings.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chengdu/ZUUU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$40,309結束日期
2026-05-21市場開放時間
May 19, 2026, 12:07 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Current forecasts from meteorological models indicate a peak temperature of 33°C in Chengdu today, aligning with the market's near-certain trader consensus at that level. This positioning reflects observed atmospheric conditions, including moderate humidity and typical springtime high-pressure systems over the Sichuan Basin that limit rapid warming. Historical May averages for the region hover near 26–29°C, providing climatological context for why 34°C or higher remains improbable without an unexpected heat surge. Key variables that could alter the outcome include revisions in official reporting thresholds or localized microclimate effects near measurement stations. Updated observations later today will refine resolution criteria based on precise maximum readings.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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