Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty around Helsinki's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the Finnish Meteorological Institute's latest forecast (updated April 16) projecting a 16°C peak at 15:00 under partly cloudy skies, low precipitation risk (<10%), and light winds (3-5 m/s with gusts to 9 m/s). This supports the leading 16°C outcome at 32% implied probability, while 18°C or higher (25.5%) and 17°C (18.5%) gain traction from ECMWF and GFS ensemble spreads showing potential clearing and southerly flow shifts boosting maxima above 17°C if morning clouds dissipate early. Northerly winds and possible light drizzle (per AccuWeather, 60% chance) cap upside, with resolution via official Helsinki-Vantaa Airport observations tomorrow. Historical April highs average 8°C, underscoring model divergence as the key differentiator.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 17?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on April 17?
16°C 32%
18°C or higher 24%
17°C 19%
15°C 12%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
9%
15°C
12%
16°C
32%
17°C
19%
18°C or higher
24%
16°C 32%
18°C or higher 24%
17°C 19%
15°C 12%
8°C or below
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
1%
13°C
4%
14°C
9%
15°C
12%
16°C
32%
17°C
19%
18°C or higher
24%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 12:12 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty around Helsinki's highest temperature on April 17, driven by the Finnish Meteorological Institute's latest forecast (updated April 16) projecting a 16°C peak at 15:00 under partly cloudy skies, low precipitation risk (<10%), and light winds (3-5 m/s with gusts to 9 m/s). This supports the leading 16°C outcome at 32% implied probability, while 18°C or higher (25.5%) and 17°C (18.5%) gain traction from ECMWF and GFS ensemble spreads showing potential clearing and southerly flow shifts boosting maxima above 17°C if morning clouds dissipate early. Northerly winds and possible light drizzle (per AccuWeather, 60% chance) cap upside, with resolution via official Helsinki-Vantaa Airport observations tomorrow. Historical April highs average 8°C, underscoring model divergence as the key differentiator.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions