Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 43.5% implied probability to a high of 34°C or higher in Karachi today, reflecting borderline forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) and international models projecting peaks around 33–35°C amid persistent dry, sunny conditions and low humidity. Following record-breaking April rains that cooled early-month highs below 30°C, temperatures have rebounded sharply—reaching 39.5°C on April 12 and 36.8°C on April 14—driven by subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud interference. AccuWeather specifies a 33.3°C (92°F) high with afternoon sea breezes potentially capping intensity, while model disagreements on peak-hour heating sustain uncertainty favoring 31–33°C outcomes at 12–14%. PMD's latest advisory rules out rain in Sindh, with evening observations likely to clarify resolution as diurnal heating peaks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Karachi on April 16?
Highest temperature in Karachi on April 16?
34°C或以上 44%
32°C 12%
33°C 8%
30°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
5%
31°C
21%
32°C
12%
33°C
8%
34°C或以上
44%
34°C或以上 44%
32°C 12%
33°C 8%
30°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-04-16
26°C
$924 交易量
<1%
27°C
$948 交易量
<1%
28°C
$538 交易量
1%
29°C
$517 交易量
3%
30°C
$285 交易量
5%
31°C
$209 交易量
21%
32°C
$133 交易量
12%
33°C
$230 交易量
8%
34°C或以上
$1,227 交易量
44%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 43.5% implied probability to a high of 34°C or higher in Karachi today, reflecting borderline forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) and international models projecting peaks around 33–35°C amid persistent dry, sunny conditions and low humidity. Following record-breaking April rains that cooled early-month highs below 30°C, temperatures have rebounded sharply—reaching 39.5°C on April 12 and 36.8°C on April 14—driven by subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud interference. AccuWeather specifies a 33.3°C (92°F) high with afternoon sea breezes potentially capping intensity, while model disagreements on peak-hour heating sustain uncertainty favoring 31–33°C outcomes at 12–14%. PMD's latest advisory rules out rain in Sindh, with evening observations likely to clarify resolution as diurnal heating peaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 14, 2026, 6:12 PM ET
交易量
$7,196結束日期
2026-04-16市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 6:12 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 43.5% implied probability to a high of 34°C or higher in Karachi today, reflecting borderline forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) and international models projecting peaks around 33–35°C amid persistent dry, sunny conditions and low humidity. Following record-breaking April rains that cooled early-month highs below 30°C, temperatures have rebounded sharply—reaching 39.5°C on April 12 and 36.8°C on April 14—driven by subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud interference. AccuWeather specifies a 33.3°C (92°F) high with afternoon sea breezes potentially capping intensity, while model disagreements on peak-hour heating sustain uncertainty favoring 31–33°C outcomes at 12–14%. PMD's latest advisory rules out rain in Sindh, with evening observations likely to clarify resolution as diurnal heating peaks.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Masroor Airbase Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Masroor Airbase Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pk/karachi/OPKC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$7,196結束日期
2026-04-16市場開放時間
Apr 14, 2026, 6:12 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 43.5% implied probability to a high of 34°C or higher in Karachi today, reflecting borderline forecasts from the Pakistan Meteorological Department (PMD) and international models projecting peaks around 33–35°C amid persistent dry, sunny conditions and low humidity. Following record-breaking April rains that cooled early-month highs below 30°C, temperatures have rebounded sharply—reaching 39.5°C on April 12 and 36.8°C on April 14—driven by subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud interference. AccuWeather specifies a 33.3°C (92°F) high with afternoon sea breezes potentially capping intensity, while model disagreements on peak-hour heating sustain uncertainty favoring 31–33°C outcomes at 12–14%. PMD's latest advisory rules out rain in Sindh, with evening observations likely to clarify resolution as diurnal heating peaks.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions