IMD's latest forecast from April 15 projects a 39°C maximum temperature in Lucknow on April 17 under clear skies and light northwesterly winds, anchoring trader support for that outcome at 28% implied probability. However, closely trailing odds for 41°C (32.5%) and 40°C (25%) reflect uncertainty from recent regional heatwave dynamics, where nearby stations recorded 43°C earlier this week amid low humidity and dry soils enhancing boundary-layer heating. Divergent model runs—some indicating stronger afternoon insolation—coupled with urban heat island effects in Lucknow differentiate these thresholds, as short-range forecasts often vary by 1-2°C. Official airport observations will resolve the market; check IMD updates later today for potential revisions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 17?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on April 17?
39°C 31%
41°C 30%
40°C 26%
42°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
37°C or below
2%
38°C
5%
39°C
31%
40°C
26%
41°C
30%
42°C
13%
43°C
2%
44°C
1%
45°C
<1%
46°C
<1%
47°C or higher
<1%
39°C 31%
41°C 30%
40°C 26%
42°C 13%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
37°C or below
$509 交易量
2%
38°C
$534 交易量
5%
39°C
$381 交易量
31%
40°C
$190 交易量
26%
41°C
$253 交易量
30%
42°C
$1,066 交易量
13%
43°C
$717 交易量
2%
44°C
$610 交易量
1%
45°C
$789 交易量
<1%
46°C
$1,282 交易量
<1%
47°C or higher
$1,606 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.IMD's latest forecast from April 15 projects a 39°C maximum temperature in Lucknow on April 17 under clear skies and light northwesterly winds, anchoring trader support for that outcome at 28% implied probability. However, closely trailing odds for 41°C (32.5%) and 40°C (25%) reflect uncertainty from recent regional heatwave dynamics, where nearby stations recorded 43°C earlier this week amid low humidity and dry soils enhancing boundary-layer heating. Divergent model runs—some indicating stronger afternoon insolation—coupled with urban heat island effects in Lucknow differentiate these thresholds, as short-range forecasts often vary by 1-2°C. Official airport observations will resolve the market; check IMD updates later today for potential revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$7,887結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.IMD's latest forecast from April 15 projects a 39°C maximum temperature in Lucknow on April 17 under clear skies and light northwesterly winds, anchoring trader support for that outcome at 28% implied probability. However, closely trailing odds for 41°C (32.5%) and 40°C (25%) reflect uncertainty from recent regional heatwave dynamics, where nearby stations recorded 43°C earlier this week amid low humidity and dry soils enhancing boundary-layer heating. Divergent model runs—some indicating stronger afternoon insolation—coupled with urban heat island effects in Lucknow differentiate these thresholds, as short-range forecasts often vary by 1-2°C. Official airport observations will resolve the market; check IMD updates later today for potential revisions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$7,887結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETIMD's latest forecast from April 15 projects a 39°C maximum temperature in Lucknow on April 17 under clear skies and light northwesterly winds, anchoring trader support for that outcome at 28% implied probability. However, closely trailing odds for 41°C (32.5%) and 40°C (25%) reflect uncertainty from recent regional heatwave dynamics, where nearby stations recorded 43°C earlier this week amid low humidity and dry soils enhancing boundary-layer heating. Divergent model runs—some indicating stronger afternoon insolation—coupled with urban heat island effects in Lucknow differentiate these thresholds, as short-range forecasts often vary by 1-2°C. Official airport observations will resolve the market; check IMD updates later today for potential revisions.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions