Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila indicate a maximum of 29–31°C on August 6 amid the Southwest monsoon and an active low-pressure area, which are expected to deliver widespread cloud cover, heavy showers, and suppressed daytime heating. These conditions align closely with the market's leading outcomes at 29°C and 30°C, reflecting historical August averages near 30–31°C while the current wet pattern favors the lower end of the typical range. Model consensus points to limited solar insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall as the primary drivers keeping temperatures from exceeding 31°C, with only modest potential for brief clearing that could support a 30°C peak. Updated PAGASA guidance and satellite observations over the next 24 hours will be key inputs for traders assessing any late shifts in the implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
8月6日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
29°C 45%
30°C 28%
28°C 19%
31°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
25°C或以下
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
3%
28°C
19%
29°C
45%
30°C
28%
31°C
5%
32°C
1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C或以上
<1%
29°C 45%
30°C 28%
28°C 19%
31°C 5%
最新
最新
2026-08-06
25°C或以下
$236 交易量
<1%
26°C
$63 交易量
<1%
27°C
$245 交易量
3%
28°C
$210 交易量
19%
29°C
$3,919 交易量
45%
30°C
$609 交易量
28%
31°C
$313 交易量
5%
32°C
$124 交易量
1%
33°C
$491 交易量
<1%
34°C
$140 交易量
<1%
35°C或以上
$288 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila indicate a maximum of 29–31°C on August 6 amid the Southwest monsoon and an active low-pressure area, which are expected to deliver widespread cloud cover, heavy showers, and suppressed daytime heating. These conditions align closely with the market's leading outcomes at 29°C and 30°C, reflecting historical August averages near 30–31°C while the current wet pattern favors the lower end of the typical range. Model consensus points to limited solar insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall as the primary drivers keeping temperatures from exceeding 31°C, with only modest potential for brief clearing that could support a 30°C peak. Updated PAGASA guidance and satellite observations over the next 24 hours will be key inputs for traders assessing any late shifts in the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$6,637結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila indicate a maximum of 29–31°C on August 6 amid the Southwest monsoon and an active low-pressure area, which are expected to deliver widespread cloud cover, heavy showers, and suppressed daytime heating. These conditions align closely with the market's leading outcomes at 29°C and 30°C, reflecting historical August averages near 30–31°C while the current wet pattern favors the lower end of the typical range. Model consensus points to limited solar insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall as the primary drivers keeping temperatures from exceeding 31°C, with only modest potential for brief clearing that could support a 30°C peak. Updated PAGASA guidance and satellite observations over the next 24 hours will be key inputs for traders assessing any late shifts in the implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$6,637結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 12:04 AM ETRecent PAGASA forecasts for Metro Manila indicate a maximum of 29–31°C on August 6 amid the Southwest monsoon and an active low-pressure area, which are expected to deliver widespread cloud cover, heavy showers, and suppressed daytime heating. These conditions align closely with the market's leading outcomes at 29°C and 30°C, reflecting historical August averages near 30–31°C while the current wet pattern favors the lower end of the typical range. Model consensus points to limited solar insolation and evaporative cooling from rainfall as the primary drivers keeping temperatures from exceeding 31°C, with only modest potential for brief clearing that could support a 30°C peak. Updated PAGASA guidance and satellite observations over the next 24 hours will be key inputs for traders assessing any late shifts in the implied probabilities.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions