Prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover, scattered rainshowers, and thunderstorms, are the main driver keeping Manila's daytime maxima moderate. PAGASA forecasts for August 8, 2026, indicate a 25–31°C range, consistent with long-term August averages near 30–31°C under high humidity and frequent precipitation that limits solar heating. Recent monitoring shows no heatwave signals or clear-sky periods that would push readings above 31°C, aligning trader consensus around 28–30°C as the most probable outcomes while assigning low odds to extremes. Updated model runs and monsoon intensity will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月8日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
8月8日馬尼拉的最高溫度？
29°C 48%
30°C 28%
28°C 23%
26°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
24°C或以下
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
7%
27°C
4%
28°C
23%
29°C
48%
30°C
28%
31°C
6%
32°C
5%
33°C
1%
34°C或以上
<1%
29°C 48%
30°C 28%
28°C 23%
26°C 7%
最新
最新
2026-08-08
24°C或以下
$0 交易量
<1%
25°C
$32 交易量
1%
26°C
$27 交易量
7%
27°C
$100 交易量
4%
28°C
$2 交易量
23%
29°C
$75 交易量
48%
30°C
$186 交易量
28%
31°C
$0 交易量
6%
32°C
$32 交易量
5%
33°C
$10 交易量
1%
34°C或以上
$10 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover, scattered rainshowers, and thunderstorms, are the main driver keeping Manila's daytime maxima moderate. PAGASA forecasts for August 8, 2026, indicate a 25–31°C range, consistent with long-term August averages near 30–31°C under high humidity and frequent precipitation that limits solar heating. Recent monitoring shows no heatwave signals or clear-sky periods that would push readings above 31°C, aligning trader consensus around 28–30°C as the most probable outcomes while assigning low odds to extremes. Updated model runs and monsoon intensity will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
交易量
$472結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Prevailing southwest monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover, scattered rainshowers, and thunderstorms, are the main driver keeping Manila's daytime maxima moderate. PAGASA forecasts for August 8, 2026, indicate a 25–31°C range, consistent with long-term August averages near 30–31°C under high humidity and frequent precipitation that limits solar heating. Recent monitoring shows no heatwave signals or clear-sky periods that would push readings above 31°C, aligning trader consensus around 28–30°C as the most probable outcomes while assigning low odds to extremes. Updated model runs and monsoon intensity will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 8 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ph/manila/RPLL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$472結束日期
2026-08-08市場開放時間
Aug 6, 2026, 12:04 AM ETPrevailing southwest monsoon conditions, including widespread cloud cover, scattered rainshowers, and thunderstorms, are the main driver keeping Manila's daytime maxima moderate. PAGASA forecasts for August 8, 2026, indicate a 25–31°C range, consistent with long-term August averages near 30–31°C under high humidity and frequent precipitation that limits solar heating. Recent monitoring shows no heatwave signals or clear-sky periods that would push readings above 31°C, aligning trader consensus around 28–30°C as the most probable outcomes while assigning low odds to extremes. Updated model runs and monsoon intensity will refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions