Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 84-85°F (33%) and 82-83°F (31%) for Miami's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts calling for highs in the mid-80s°F amid mostly sunny skies and east winds of 10-15 mph from a persistent high-pressure ridge over Florida. This setup favors above-normal warmth—historical April 17 normals hover near 84°F at Miami International Airport—boosted by sea surface temperatures around 80°F and minimal cloud interference for peak insolation around 2 PM. Differentiating factors include ensemble model spread, with GFS leaning slightly warmer (84-86°F) versus ECMWF cooler (82-84°F), plus urban heat effects and exact station measurements; daily updates from NOAA could refine this narrow range before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Miami on April 17?
Highest temperature in Miami on April 17?
84-85°F 40%
82-83°F 30%
86-87°F 17%
80-81°F 4.7%
$13,110 交易量
$13,110 交易量
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
30%
84-85°F
40%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
3%
90°F or higher
1%
84-85°F 40%
82-83°F 30%
86-87°F 17%
80-81°F 4.7%
$13,110 交易量
$13,110 交易量
71°F or below
<1%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
1%
78-79°F
2%
80-81°F
5%
82-83°F
30%
84-85°F
40%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
3%
90°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間: Apr 15, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Miami Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/fl/miami/KMIA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 84-85°F (33%) and 82-83°F (31%) for Miami's highest temperature on April 17, reflecting National Weather Service forecasts calling for highs in the mid-80s°F amid mostly sunny skies and east winds of 10-15 mph from a persistent high-pressure ridge over Florida. This setup favors above-normal warmth—historical April 17 normals hover near 84°F at Miami International Airport—boosted by sea surface temperatures around 80°F and minimal cloud interference for peak insolation around 2 PM. Differentiating factors include ensemble model spread, with GFS leaning slightly warmer (84-86°F) versus ECMWF cooler (82-84°F), plus urban heat effects and exact station measurements; daily updates from NOAA could refine this narrow range before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議,也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions