Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the wide spread in latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts for Milan's highest temperature on April 17, with model means clustering around 23°C but projections spanning 20-25°C, closely matching the top outcomes at 24°C (34.5%) and 23°C (25.5%). This uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover under a building high-pressure ridge over Italy, which favors above-average spring warmth—historical April highs average 17-19°C at Milano Linate Airport—tempered by potential afternoon haze or light showers in the Po Valley. Southerly winds could boost peaks toward 24-25°C, while thicker clouds favor 22-23°C; watch ARPA Lombardia updates and hourly model runs today for shifts ahead of resolution via official station data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Milan on April 17?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 17?
24°C 30%
23°C 24%
25°C 18%
22°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
6%
22°C
17%
23°C
24%
24°C
30%
25°C
18%
26°C
6%
27°C
3%
28°C or higher
1%
24°C 30%
23°C 24%
25°C 18%
22°C 17%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
18°C or below
$2,011 交易量
<1%
19°C
$891 交易量
<1%
20°C
$1,039 交易量
1%
21°C
$785 交易量
6%
22°C
$691 交易量
17%
23°C
$432 交易量
24%
24°C
$356 交易量
30%
25°C
$436 交易量
18%
26°C
$1,038 交易量
6%
27°C
$824 交易量
3%
28°C or higher
$678 交易量
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the wide spread in latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts for Milan's highest temperature on April 17, with model means clustering around 23°C but projections spanning 20-25°C, closely matching the top outcomes at 24°C (34.5%) and 23°C (25.5%). This uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover under a building high-pressure ridge over Italy, which favors above-average spring warmth—historical April highs average 17-19°C at Milano Linate Airport—tempered by potential afternoon haze or light showers in the Po Valley. Southerly winds could boost peaks toward 24-25°C, while thicker clouds favor 22-23°C; watch ARPA Lombardia updates and hourly model runs today for shifts ahead of resolution via official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
交易量
$9,005結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects the wide spread in latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts for Milan's highest temperature on April 17, with model means clustering around 23°C but projections spanning 20-25°C, closely matching the top outcomes at 24°C (34.5%) and 23°C (25.5%). This uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover under a building high-pressure ridge over Italy, which favors above-average spring warmth—historical April highs average 17-19°C at Milano Linate Airport—tempered by potential afternoon haze or light showers in the Po Valley. Southerly winds could boost peaks toward 24-25°C, while thicker clouds favor 22-23°C; watch ARPA Lombardia updates and hourly model runs today for shifts ahead of resolution via official station data.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$9,005結束日期
2026-04-17市場開放時間
Apr 15, 2026, 12:06 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects the wide spread in latest ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts for Milan's highest temperature on April 17, with model means clustering around 23°C but projections spanning 20-25°C, closely matching the top outcomes at 24°C (34.5%) and 23°C (25.5%). This uncertainty stems from variable cloud cover under a building high-pressure ridge over Italy, which favors above-average spring warmth—historical April highs average 17-19°C at Milano Linate Airport—tempered by potential afternoon haze or light showers in the Po Valley. Southerly winds could boost peaks toward 24-25°C, while thicker clouds favor 22-23°C; watch ARPA Lombardia updates and hourly model runs today for shifts ahead of resolution via official station data.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions