Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 48% implied probability for Milan's highest temperature reaching exactly 21°C today, with 28.5% for 22°C and 19.8% for 23°C or higher, driven by the latest short-range forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS models indicating peak afternoon heating under a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy. Clear skies and light southerly winds have promoted radiational warming since overnight lows near 7–10°C, with urban heat island effects in Milan boosting maxima above the April climatological average of 17–18°C. Recent 12-hour model updates slightly tempered earlier projections from 23°C due to drier mid-level air reducing convective potential, though hourly observations from Milano Linate station—expected through late afternoon—remain pivotal for resolution amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於Highest temperature in Milan on April 3?
Highest temperature in Milan on April 3?
21°C 49%
22°C 28%
23°C or higher 19.7%
20°C 6%
$32,110 交易量
$32,110 交易量
2026-04-03
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
1%
19°C
2%
20°C
6%
21°C
49%
22°C
28%
23°C or higher
20%
21°C 49%
22°C 28%
23°C or higher 19.7%
20°C 6%
$32,110 交易量
$32,110 交易量
2026-04-03
13°C or below
$2,925 交易量
<1%
14°C
$1,652 交易量
<1%
15°C
$3,866 交易量
<1%
16°C
$3,008 交易量
<1%
17°C
$2,093 交易量
<1%
18°C
$2,748 交易量
1%
19°C
$4,086 交易量
2%
20°C
$2,484 交易量
6%
21°C
$2,585 交易量
49%
22°C
$2,289 交易量
28%
23°C or higher
$4,474 交易量
20%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 48% implied probability for Milan's highest temperature reaching exactly 21°C today, with 28.5% for 22°C and 19.8% for 23°C or higher, driven by the latest short-range forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS models indicating peak afternoon heating under a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy. Clear skies and light southerly winds have promoted radiational warming since overnight lows near 7–10°C, with urban heat island effects in Milan boosting maxima above the April climatological average of 17–18°C. Recent 12-hour model updates slightly tempered earlier projections from 23°C due to drier mid-level air reducing convective potential, though hourly observations from Milano Linate station—expected through late afternoon—remain pivotal for resolution amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市場開放時間： Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ET
交易量
$32,110結束日期
2026-04-03市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ET已提議結果: No
爭議期
最終
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 48% implied probability for Milan's highest temperature reaching exactly 21°C today, with 28.5% for 22°C and 19.8% for 23°C or higher, driven by the latest short-range forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS models indicating peak afternoon heating under a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy. Clear skies and light southerly winds have promoted radiational warming since overnight lows near 7–10°C, with urban heat island effects in Milan boosting maxima above the April climatological average of 17–18°C. Recent 12-hour model updates slightly tempered earlier projections from 23°C due to drier mid-level air reducing convective potential, though hourly observations from Milano Linate station—expected through late afternoon—remain pivotal for resolution amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$32,110結束日期
2026-04-03市場開放時間
Mar 29, 2026, 2:52 PM ET已提議結果: No
爭議期
最終
Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 48% implied probability for Milan's highest temperature reaching exactly 21°C today, with 28.5% for 22°C and 19.8% for 23°C or higher, driven by the latest short-range forecast consensus from ECMWF and GFS models indicating peak afternoon heating under a stable high-pressure ridge over northern Italy. Clear skies and light southerly winds have promoted radiational warming since overnight lows near 7–10°C, with urban heat island effects in Milan boosting maxima above the April climatological average of 17–18°C. Recent 12-hour model updates slightly tempered earlier projections from 23°C due to drier mid-level air reducing convective potential, though hourly observations from Milano Linate station—expected through late afternoon—remain pivotal for resolution amid typical spring forecast uncertainty.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
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