Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a highest temperature in New York City on July 8 most likely in the low 80s, driven by a moderating post-heat-wave pattern with moderate southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and urban heat island effects tempered by proximity to cooler Atlantic waters. Sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer mixing introduce the narrow spread across 80–83°F outcomes, while any delay in onshore flow or reduced insolation could cap readings near 79°F. Model consensus remains tight this close to verification, with updates from the 12Z and 00Z cycles expected to refine peak wind and humidity profiles before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於7月8日紐約市的最高溫度？
7月8日紐約市的最高溫度？
86-87°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$159,044 交易量
$159,044 交易量
2026-07-08
71°F or below
No
72-73°F
No
74-75°F
No
76-77°F
No
78-79°F
No
80-81°F
No
82-83°F
No
84-85°F
No
86-87°F
Yes
88-89°F
No
90°F or higher
No
86-87°F 100.0%
71°F or below <1%
72-73°F <1%
74-75°F <1%
$159,044 交易量
$159,044 交易量
2026-07-08
71°F or below
$5,004 交易量
No
72-73°F
$20,672 交易量
No
74-75°F
$10,733 交易量
No
76-77°F
$10,196 交易量
No
78-79°F
$12,026 交易量
No
80-81°F
$12,458 交易量
No
82-83°F
$17,612 交易量
No
84-85°F
$25,307 交易量
No
86-87°F
$17,711 交易量
Yes
88-89°F
$16,209 交易量
No
90°F or higher
$11,114 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a highest temperature in New York City on July 8 most likely in the low 80s, driven by a moderating post-heat-wave pattern with moderate southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and urban heat island effects tempered by proximity to cooler Atlantic waters. Sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer mixing introduce the narrow spread across 80–83°F outcomes, while any delay in onshore flow or reduced insolation could cap readings near 79°F. Model consensus remains tight this close to verification, with updates from the 12Z and 00Z cycles expected to refine peak wind and humidity profiles before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jul 6, 2026, 10:02 PM ET
交易量
$159,044結束日期
2026-07-08市場開放時間
Jul 6, 2026, 10:02 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a highest temperature in New York City on July 8 most likely in the low 80s, driven by a moderating post-heat-wave pattern with moderate southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and urban heat island effects tempered by proximity to cooler Atlantic waters. Sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer mixing introduce the narrow spread across 80–83°F outcomes, while any delay in onshore flow or reduced insolation could cap readings near 79°F. Model consensus remains tight this close to verification, with updates from the 12Z and 00Z cycles expected to refine peak wind and humidity profiles before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 8 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$159,044結束日期
2026-07-08市場開放時間
Jul 6, 2026, 10:02 PM ET已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Recent National Weather Service and ensemble model guidance points to a highest temperature in New York City on July 8 most likely in the low 80s, driven by a moderating post-heat-wave pattern with moderate southwesterly flow, partial cloud cover, and urban heat island effects tempered by proximity to cooler Atlantic waters. Sea-breeze timing and boundary-layer mixing introduce the narrow spread across 80–83°F outcomes, while any delay in onshore flow or reduced insolation could cap readings near 79°F. Model consensus remains tight this close to verification, with updates from the 12Z and 00Z cycles expected to refine peak wind and humidity profiles before resolution.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions