Trader consensus on 32°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on June 4 stems from consistent meteorological forecasts under stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies, typical for early summer in the eastern Mediterranean. Official models project a daytime peak aligning precisely with this threshold, supported by historical June averages of 28–30°C highs and current observations showing sunny conditions with minimal cloud cover or wind shifts that could moderate readings. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time data from agencies tracking surface temperatures. Unlikely deviations could arise only from localized measurement variations at official stations or rapid forecast revisions, though current model agreement leaves little room for outcomes below 31°C or above 33°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 4?
Highest temperature in Tel Aviv on June 4?
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$47,485 交易量
$47,485 交易量
2026-06-04
25°C or below
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
25°C or below <1%
26°C <1%
27°C <1%
$47,485 交易量
$47,485 交易量
2026-06-04
25°C or below
$287 交易量
No
26°C
$1,020 交易量
No
27°C
$851 交易量
No
28°C
$1,496 交易量
No
29°C
$3,305 交易量
No
30°C
$3,352 交易量
No
31°C
$4,686 交易量
No
32°C
$6,984 交易量
Yes
33°C
$6,473 交易量
No
34°C
$8,661 交易量
No
35°C or higher
$10,371 交易量
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on 32°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on June 4 stems from consistent meteorological forecasts under stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies, typical for early summer in the eastern Mediterranean. Official models project a daytime peak aligning precisely with this threshold, supported by historical June averages of 28–30°C highs and current observations showing sunny conditions with minimal cloud cover or wind shifts that could moderate readings. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time data from agencies tracking surface temperatures. Unlikely deviations could arise only from localized measurement variations at official stations or rapid forecast revisions, though current model agreement leaves little room for outcomes below 31°C or above 33°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Jun 2, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
交易量
$47,485結束日期
2026-06-04市場開放時間
Jun 2, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus on 32°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on June 4 stems from consistent meteorological forecasts under stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies, typical for early summer in the eastern Mediterranean. Official models project a daytime peak aligning precisely with this threshold, supported by historical June averages of 28–30°C highs and current observations showing sunny conditions with minimal cloud cover or wind shifts that could moderate readings. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time data from agencies tracking surface temperatures. Unlikely deviations could arise only from localized measurement variations at official stations or rapid forecast revisions, though current model agreement leaves little room for outcomes below 31°C or above 33°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ben Gurion International Airport in degrees Celsius on 4 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$47,485結束日期
2026-06-04市場開放時間
Jun 2, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...已提議結果: No
無爭議
最終結果: No
Trader consensus on 32°C for Tel Aviv's highest temperature on June 4 stems from consistent meteorological forecasts under stable high-pressure conditions and clear skies, typical for early summer in the eastern Mediterranean. Official models project a daytime peak aligning precisely with this threshold, supported by historical June averages of 28–30°C highs and current observations showing sunny conditions with minimal cloud cover or wind shifts that could moderate readings. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time data from agencies tracking surface temperatures. Unlikely deviations could arise only from localized measurement variations at official stations or rapid forecast revisions, though current model agreement leaves little room for outcomes below 31°C or above 33°C.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
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警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions