Météo-France forecasts point to a morning minimum of 17°C in Paris on August 6 amid a post-heatwave cooldown, with models showing consensus on overnight lows stabilizing near this level under clear skies and light northerly flow. This aligns with the market's overwhelming 99.6% implied probability for 17°C, reflecting aggregated trader assessment of official guidance and historical August baseline lows around 15°C. Short-range ensemble runs indicate limited variability, though modest shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or urban heat-island effects could push the recorded minimum to 16°C or 18°C if conditions deviate from the central forecast before the daily low is finalized.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於8月6日巴黎最低溫度？
8月6日巴黎最低溫度？
17°C 100.0%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$28,038 交易量
$28,038 交易量
2026-08-06
12°C或以下
否
13°C
否
14°C
否
15°C
否
16°C
否
17°C
是
18°C
否
19°C
否
20°C
否
21°C
否
22°C或以上
否
17°C 100.0%
12°C或以下 <1%
13°C <1%
14°C <1%
$28,038 交易量
$28,038 交易量
2026-08-06
12°C或以下
$849 交易量
否
13°C
$658 交易量
否
14°C
$1,830 交易量
否
15°C
$4,073 交易量
否
16°C
$2,771 交易量
否
17°C
$7,004 交易量
是
18°C
$3,187 交易量
否
19°C
$2,365 交易量
否
20°C
$2,698 交易量
否
21°C
$1,594 交易量
否
22°C或以上
$1,007 交易量
否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Météo-France forecasts point to a morning minimum of 17°C in Paris on August 6 amid a post-heatwave cooldown, with models showing consensus on overnight lows stabilizing near this level under clear skies and light northerly flow. This aligns with the market's overwhelming 99.6% implied probability for 17°C, reflecting aggregated trader assessment of official guidance and historical August baseline lows around 15°C. Short-range ensemble runs indicate limited variability, though modest shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or urban heat-island effects could push the recorded minimum to 16°C or 18°C if conditions deviate from the central forecast before the daily low is finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市場開放時間： Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
交易量
$28,038結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Météo-France forecasts point to a morning minimum of 17°C in Paris on August 6 amid a post-heatwave cooldown, with models showing consensus on overnight lows stabilizing near this level under clear skies and light northerly flow. This aligns with the market's overwhelming 99.6% implied probability for 17°C, reflecting aggregated trader assessment of official guidance and historical August baseline lows around 15°C. Short-range ensemble runs indicate limited variability, though modest shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or urban heat-island effects could push the recorded minimum to 16°C or 18°C if conditions deviate from the central forecast before the daily low is finalized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
交易量
$28,038結束日期
2026-08-06市場開放時間
Aug 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET已提議結果: 否
無爭議
最終結果: 否
Météo-France forecasts point to a morning minimum of 17°C in Paris on August 6 amid a post-heatwave cooldown, with models showing consensus on overnight lows stabilizing near this level under clear skies and light northerly flow. This aligns with the market's overwhelming 99.6% implied probability for 17°C, reflecting aggregated trader assessment of official guidance and historical August baseline lows around 15°C. Short-range ensemble runs indicate limited variability, though modest shifts in cloud cover, wind speed, or urban heat-island effects could push the recorded minimum to 16°C or 18°C if conditions deviate from the central forecast before the daily low is finalized.
基於Polymarket數據的AI實驗性摘要。這不是交易建議，也不影響該市場的結算方式。 · 更新於
警惕外部連結哦。
警惕外部連結哦。
Frequently Asked Questions