Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 42% implied probability for a 12°C high in Ankara on April 13, closely trailed by 11°C at 27% and 13°C at 16.5%, reflecting tight clustering in the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and international models, which project maximums of 11–13°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. This positioning stems from a persistent early-April cold snap, with recent days recording highs near 9°C on April 8 and around 8–10°C on April 11 amid northerly cold air advection suppressing temperatures well below the mid-April climatological average of 16°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, signaling low uncertainty, though minor model shifts could occur with tomorrow's 12Z updates ahead of observed measurements at Esenboğa Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Ankara on April 13?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 13?
12°C 42%
11°C 27%
13°C 17%
14°C 6.4%
$13,502 交易量
$13,502 交易量
2026-04-13
9°C或以下
6%
10°C
6%
11°C
27%
12°C
42%
13°C
17%
14°C
6%
15°C
2%
16°C
1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
<1%
12°C 42%
11°C 27%
13°C 17%
14°C 6.4%
$13,502 交易量
$13,502 交易量
2026-04-13
9°C或以下
$3,021 交易量
6%
10°C
$1,196 交易量
6%
11°C
$1,060 交易量
27%
12°C
$819 交易量
42%
13°C
$1,243 交易量
17%
14°C
$2,120 交易量
6%
15°C
$953 交易量
2%
16°C
$883 交易量
1%
17°C
$689 交易量
<1%
18°C
$491 交易量
<1%
19°C or higher
$1,030 交易量
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 42% implied probability for a 12°C high in Ankara on April 13, closely trailed by 11°C at 27% and 13°C at 16.5%, reflecting tight clustering in the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and international models, which project maximums of 11–13°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. This positioning stems from a persistent early-April cold snap, with recent days recording highs near 9°C on April 8 and around 8–10°C on April 11 amid northerly cold air advection suppressing temperatures well below the mid-April climatological average of 16°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, signaling low uncertainty, though minor model shifts could occur with tomorrow's 12Z updates ahead of observed measurements at Esenboğa Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
交易量
$13,502结束日期
2026-04-13市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 42% implied probability for a 12°C high in Ankara on April 13, closely trailed by 11°C at 27% and 13°C at 16.5%, reflecting tight clustering in the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and international models, which project maximums of 11–13°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. This positioning stems from a persistent early-April cold snap, with recent days recording highs near 9°C on April 8 and around 8–10°C on April 11 amid northerly cold air advection suppressing temperatures well below the mid-April climatological average of 16°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, signaling low uncertainty, though minor model shifts could occur with tomorrow's 12Z updates ahead of observed measurements at Esenboğa Airport.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$13,502结束日期
2026-04-13市场开放时间
Apr 9, 2026, 12:09 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 42% implied probability for a 12°C high in Ankara on April 13, closely trailed by 11°C at 27% and 13°C at 16.5%, reflecting tight clustering in the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM) and international models, which project maximums of 11–13°C under partly cloudy skies with light winds. This positioning stems from a persistent early-April cold snap, with recent days recording highs near 9°C on April 8 and around 8–10°C on April 11 amid northerly cold air advection suppressing temperatures well below the mid-April climatological average of 16°C. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, signaling low uncertainty, though minor model shifts could occur with tomorrow's 12Z updates ahead of observed measurements at Esenboğa Airport.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
常见问题