Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50% implied probability for Chongqing's highest temperature reaching 26°C or higher on April 14 at Jiangbei International Airport, driven by China Meteorological Administration (CMA) short-range forecasts showing highs near 25-27°C under a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear-sky radiative heating in the heat-trapping Sichuan Basin. Recent observations confirm a warming spring trend, with April 11-12 highs around 24-25°C exceeding the mid-April climatological normal of 23°C, while probabilities cluster at 35-36% for 22-25°C due to model ensemble spread in ECMWF and GFS runs indicating potential afternoon cloud development or light showers. Uncertainty persists from variable southerly flows; watch CMA's April 13 bulletin for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 14?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 14?
20°C 27%
21°C 22%
22°C 17%
19°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-14
16°C or below
3%
17°C
4%
18°C
4%
19°C
14%
20°C
27%
21°C
22%
22°C
17%
23°C
10%
24°C
7%
25°C
6%
26°C or higher
3%
20°C 27%
21°C 22%
22°C 17%
19°C 14%
最新
最新
2026-04-14
16°C or below
$37 交易量
3%
17°C
$10 交易量
4%
18°C
$10 交易量
4%
19°C
$10 交易量
14%
20°C
$26 交易量
27%
21°C
$129 交易量
22%
22°C
$16 交易量
17%
23°C
$18 交易量
10%
24°C
$18 交易量
7%
25°C
$19 交易量
6%
26°C or higher
$112 交易量
3%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50% implied probability for Chongqing's highest temperature reaching 26°C or higher on April 14 at Jiangbei International Airport, driven by China Meteorological Administration (CMA) short-range forecasts showing highs near 25-27°C under a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear-sky radiative heating in the heat-trapping Sichuan Basin. Recent observations confirm a warming spring trend, with April 11-12 highs around 24-25°C exceeding the mid-April climatological normal of 23°C, while probabilities cluster at 35-36% for 22-25°C due to model ensemble spread in ECMWF and GFS runs indicating potential afternoon cloud development or light showers. Uncertainty persists from variable southerly flows; watch CMA's April 13 bulletin for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
交易量
$405结束日期
2026-04-14市场开放时间
Apr 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50% implied probability for Chongqing's highest temperature reaching 26°C or higher on April 14 at Jiangbei International Airport, driven by China Meteorological Administration (CMA) short-range forecasts showing highs near 25-27°C under a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear-sky radiative heating in the heat-trapping Sichuan Basin. Recent observations confirm a warming spring trend, with April 11-12 highs around 24-25°C exceeding the mid-April climatological normal of 23°C, while probabilities cluster at 35-36% for 22-25°C due to model ensemble spread in ECMWF and GFS runs indicating potential afternoon cloud development or light showers. Uncertainty persists from variable southerly flows; watch CMA's April 13 bulletin for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$405结束日期
2026-04-14市场开放时间
Apr 12, 2026, 12:07 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices a 50% implied probability for Chongqing's highest temperature reaching 26°C or higher on April 14 at Jiangbei International Airport, driven by China Meteorological Administration (CMA) short-range forecasts showing highs near 25-27°C under a strengthening high-pressure ridge promoting subsidence and clear-sky radiative heating in the heat-trapping Sichuan Basin. Recent observations confirm a warming spring trend, with April 11-12 highs around 24-25°C exceeding the mid-April climatological normal of 23°C, while probabilities cluster at 35-36% for 22-25°C due to model ensemble spread in ECMWF and GFS runs indicating potential afternoon cloud development or light showers. Uncertainty persists from variable southerly flows; watch CMA's April 13 bulletin for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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