Close model spreads across global ensembles keep the 29–31°C outcomes tightly bunched near 25–30% each, reflecting genuine uncertainty in tomorrow’s peak rather than any single dominant signal. In Panama City’s June wet-season regime, afternoon convection tied to the ITCZ and sea-breeze convergence frequently caps insolation; slight differences in forecast timing or coverage of showers can swing the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Recent runs show modest mid-level moisture and weak steering flow, conditions that historically produce scattered rather than widespread storms and allow brief windows of stronger heating. Updated high-resolution guidance tonight and early-morning satellite trends will likely tighten the distribution ahead of the 23 June observation window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月23日巴拿马城气温最高?
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$17,395 交易量
$17,395 交易量
26°C or below
No
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
是
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C或以上
否
30°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$17,395 交易量
$17,395 交易量
26°C or below
No
27°C
否
28°C
否
29°C
否
30°C
是
31°C
否
32°C
否
33°C
否
34°C
否
35°C
否
36°C或以上
否
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 21, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
已提议结果: No
无争议
最终结果: No
Close model spreads across global ensembles keep the 29–31°C outcomes tightly bunched near 25–30% each, reflecting genuine uncertainty in tomorrow’s peak rather than any single dominant signal. In Panama City’s June wet-season regime, afternoon convection tied to the ITCZ and sea-breeze convergence frequently caps insolation; slight differences in forecast timing or coverage of showers can swing the daily maximum by 1–2°C. Recent runs show modest mid-level moisture and weak steering flow, conditions that historically produce scattered rather than widespread storms and allow brief windows of stronger heating. Updated high-resolution guidance tonight and early-morning satellite trends will likely tighten the distribution ahead of the 23 June observation window.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于

警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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