Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Shenzhen's April 17 high temperature tightly around 27–30°C, with 28°C leading at 28.5%, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble means clustering in the upper 20s Celsius amid a strengthening subtropical ridge over southern China. Recent model runs, updated within the last 24 hours, indicate slight warming from early April's averages of 26°C, fueled by high pressure suppressing clouds and boosting solar insolation, though coastal sea breezes and potential afternoon cumulus development introduce uncertainty differentiating 27°C (cooler moderation) from 29–30°C (clearer skies). Urban heat island effects in densely built Shenzhen add 1–2°C above rural baselines. Watch China Meteorological Administration's evening forecast and tomorrow's ECMWF release for refinements ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?
Highest temperature in Shenzhen on April 17?
28°C 28%
29°C 25%
30°C 23%
27°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
4%
26°C
6%
27°C
16%
28°C
28%
29°C
25%
30°C
23%
31°C
8%
32°C or higher
2%
28°C 28%
29°C 25%
30°C 23%
27°C 16%
最新
最新
2026-04-17
22°C or below
$597 交易量
<1%
23°C
$1,387 交易量
1%
24°C
$878 交易量
2%
25°C
$746 交易量
4%
26°C
$172 交易量
6%
27°C
$28 交易量
16%
28°C
$5 交易量
28%
29°C
$0 交易量
25%
30°C
$17 交易量
23%
31°C
$19 交易量
8%
32°C or higher
$23 交易量
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Shenzhen's April 17 high temperature tightly around 27–30°C, with 28°C leading at 28.5%, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble means clustering in the upper 20s Celsius amid a strengthening subtropical ridge over southern China. Recent model runs, updated within the last 24 hours, indicate slight warming from early April's averages of 26°C, fueled by high pressure suppressing clouds and boosting solar insolation, though coastal sea breezes and potential afternoon cumulus development introduce uncertainty differentiating 27°C (cooler moderation) from 29–30°C (clearer skies). Urban heat island effects in densely built Shenzhen add 1–2°C above rural baselines. Watch China Meteorological Administration's evening forecast and tomorrow's ECMWF release for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
市场开放时间： Apr 15, 2026, 12:38 AM ET
交易量
$3,872结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:38 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices Shenzhen's April 17 high temperature tightly around 27–30°C, with 28°C leading at 28.5%, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble means clustering in the upper 20s Celsius amid a strengthening subtropical ridge over southern China. Recent model runs, updated within the last 24 hours, indicate slight warming from early April's averages of 26°C, fueled by high pressure suppressing clouds and boosting solar insolation, though coastal sea breezes and potential afternoon cumulus development introduce uncertainty differentiating 27°C (cooler moderation) from 29–30°C (clearer skies). Urban heat island effects in densely built Shenzhen add 1–2°C above rural baselines. Watch China Meteorological Administration's evening forecast and tomorrow's ECMWF release for refinements ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Shenzhen Bao'an International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shenzhen/ZGSZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
交易量
$3,872结束日期
2026-04-17市场开放时间
Apr 15, 2026, 12:38 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices Shenzhen's April 17 high temperature tightly around 27–30°C, with 28°C leading at 28.5%, driven by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble means clustering in the upper 20s Celsius amid a strengthening subtropical ridge over southern China. Recent model runs, updated within the last 24 hours, indicate slight warming from early April's averages of 26°C, fueled by high pressure suppressing clouds and boosting solar insolation, though coastal sea breezes and potential afternoon cumulus development introduce uncertainty differentiating 27°C (cooler moderation) from 29–30°C (clearer skies). Urban heat island effects in densely built Shenzhen add 1–2°C above rural baselines. Watch China Meteorological Administration's evening forecast and tomorrow's ECMWF release for refinements ahead of resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议，也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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