Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 33°C (91°F) or higher at 74% implied probability for Panama City, Florida, on April 13, propelled by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts signaling upper-80s to low-90s Fahrenheit under a dominant upper-level high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence warming and mostly sunny conditions. This positioning stems from recent observational data, including a verified 33°C peak on April 4 at the NOAA station, amid an early April warm anomaly above the climatological average of 25–27°C. Secondary outcomes like 32°C (13.5%) and 31°C (8.5%) account for model spread and potential moderating sea breezes, with new NWS forecast discussions and daily model updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Panama City on April 13?
Highest temperature in Panama City on April 13?
33°C or higher 72%
32°C 14%
31°C 10%
30°C <1%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
10%
32°C
14%
33°C or higher
72%
33°C or higher 72%
32°C 14%
31°C 10%
30°C <1%
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C
10%
32°C
14%
33°C or higher
72%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 9, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors a high of 33°C (91°F) or higher at 74% implied probability for Panama City, Florida, on April 13, propelled by the latest GFS and ECMWF ensemble forecasts signaling upper-80s to low-90s Fahrenheit under a dominant upper-level high-pressure ridge fostering subsidence warming and mostly sunny conditions. This positioning stems from recent observational data, including a verified 33°C peak on April 4 at the NOAA station, amid an early April warm anomaly above the climatological average of 25–27°C. Secondary outcomes like 32°C (13.5%) and 31°C (8.5%) account for model spread and potential moderating sea breezes, with new NWS forecast discussions and daily model updates expected to refine probabilities ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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