Latest ensemble forecasts from meteorological models, including those powering sites like timeanddate.com, project Taipei's highest temperature on April 13 at around 31–32°C (89°F), with scattered clouds, low 2% precipitation chance, and 11 mph winds boosting the heat index to near 35°C—explaining the trader consensus favoring 31°C (28.5% implied probability) closely trailed by 32°C (20%) and 30°C (16%). This warmer-than-April's typical 25°C average stems from a persistent upper-level ridge suppressing fronts, though model discrepancies in cloud cover and sea breeze strength introduce 1–2°C uncertainty, potentially tipping outcomes. Recent April 11–12 projections show similar highs (31°C then 30°C), with Central Weather Administration updates and fresh GFS/ECMWF runs expected April 12 to refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHighest temperature in Taipei on April 13?
Highest temperature in Taipei on April 13?
31°C 28%
32°C 21%
29°C 16%
30°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 abr 2026
28°C or below
7%
29°C
16%
30°C
16%
31°C
28%
32°C
21%
33°C
7%
34°C
4%
35°C
2%
36°C
1%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
31°C 28%
32°C 21%
29°C 16%
30°C 14%
NUEVO
NUEVO
13 abr 2026
28°C or below
$1,108 Vol.
7%
29°C
$742 Vol.
16%
30°C
$309 Vol.
16%
31°C
$375 Vol.
28%
32°C
$325 Vol.
21%
33°C
$483 Vol.
7%
34°C
$578 Vol.
4%
35°C
$391 Vol.
2%
36°C
$719 Vol.
1%
37°C
$820 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$480 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from meteorological models, including those powering sites like timeanddate.com, project Taipei's highest temperature on April 13 at around 31–32°C (89°F), with scattered clouds, low 2% precipitation chance, and 11 mph winds boosting the heat index to near 35°C—explaining the trader consensus favoring 31°C (28.5% implied probability) closely trailed by 32°C (20%) and 30°C (16%). This warmer-than-April's typical 25°C average stems from a persistent upper-level ridge suppressing fronts, though model discrepancies in cloud cover and sea breeze strength introduce 1–2°C uncertainty, potentially tipping outcomes. Recent April 11–12 projections show similar highs (31°C then 30°C), with Central Weather Administration updates and fresh GFS/ECMWF runs expected April 12 to refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercado abierto: Apr 9, 2026, 12:19 AM ET
Volumen
$6,330Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:19 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest ensemble forecasts from meteorological models, including those powering sites like timeanddate.com, project Taipei's highest temperature on April 13 at around 31–32°C (89°F), with scattered clouds, low 2% precipitation chance, and 11 mph winds boosting the heat index to near 35°C—explaining the trader consensus favoring 31°C (28.5% implied probability) closely trailed by 32°C (20%) and 30°C (16%). This warmer-than-April's typical 25°C average stems from a persistent upper-level ridge suppressing fronts, though model discrepancies in cloud cover and sea breeze strength introduce 1–2°C uncertainty, potentially tipping outcomes. Recent April 11–12 projections show similar highs (31°C then 30°C), with Central Weather Administration updates and fresh GFS/ECMWF runs expected April 12 to refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volumen
$6,330Fecha de finalización
13 abr 2026Mercado abierto
Apr 9, 2026, 12:19 AM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest ensemble forecasts from meteorological models, including those powering sites like timeanddate.com, project Taipei's highest temperature on April 13 at around 31–32°C (89°F), with scattered clouds, low 2% precipitation chance, and 11 mph winds boosting the heat index to near 35°C—explaining the trader consensus favoring 31°C (28.5% implied probability) closely trailed by 32°C (20%) and 30°C (16%). This warmer-than-April's typical 25°C average stems from a persistent upper-level ridge suppressing fronts, though model discrepancies in cloud cover and sea breeze strength introduce 1–2°C uncertainty, potentially tipping outcomes. Recent April 11–12 projections show similar highs (31°C then 30°C), with Central Weather Administration updates and fresh GFS/ECMWF runs expected April 12 to refine trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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