AEMET's latest municipal forecast for Madrid projects a 27°C maximum on April 17 under a stable high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and light northeast winds at 10 km/h, driving trader sentiment toward the tightly contested 26–27°C outcomes with market-implied probabilities of 32.5% and 36.0%, respectively. This reflects a warming trend from April 16's observed highs near 20°C and forecast peak of 25°C, supported by ECMWF and GFS ensemble means clustering around 26.5°C amid minor divergences in boundary layer heating and peak afternoon insolation. April climatology averages 19°C highs at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the resolution station—elevating above-normal risks, though thin high clouds or slight wind shifts could cap at 26°C. New 12z model runs and hourly updates expected midday will refine the 1°C spread.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Madrid on April 17?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 17?
27°C 37%
26°C 32%
25°C 15%
28°C 14%
NOUVEAU
$10,562 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,562 Vol.
17 avr. 2026
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
2%
25°C
15%
26°C
32%
27°C
37%
28°C
14%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
2%
27°C 37%
26°C 32%
25°C 15%
28°C 14%
NOUVEAU
$10,562 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$10,562 Vol.
17 avr. 2026
20°C or below
$1,014 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$1,389 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$2,111 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,023 Vol.
1%
24°C
$1,139 Vol.
2%
25°C
$985 Vol.
15%
26°C
$551 Vol.
32%
27°C
$566 Vol.
37%
28°C
$450 Vol.
14%
29°C
$572 Vol.
3%
30°C or higher
$762 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.AEMET's latest municipal forecast for Madrid projects a 27°C maximum on April 17 under a stable high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and light northeast winds at 10 km/h, driving trader sentiment toward the tightly contested 26–27°C outcomes with market-implied probabilities of 32.5% and 36.0%, respectively. This reflects a warming trend from April 16's observed highs near 20°C and forecast peak of 25°C, supported by ECMWF and GFS ensemble means clustering around 26.5°C amid minor divergences in boundary layer heating and peak afternoon insolation. April climatology averages 19°C highs at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the resolution station—elevating above-normal risks, though thin high clouds or slight wind shifts could cap at 26°C. New 12z model runs and hourly updates expected midday will refine the 1°C spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Volume
$10,562Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:11 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.AEMET's latest municipal forecast for Madrid projects a 27°C maximum on April 17 under a stable high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and light northeast winds at 10 km/h, driving trader sentiment toward the tightly contested 26–27°C outcomes with market-implied probabilities of 32.5% and 36.0%, respectively. This reflects a warming trend from April 16's observed highs near 20°C and forecast peak of 25°C, supported by ECMWF and GFS ensemble means clustering around 26.5°C amid minor divergences in boundary layer heating and peak afternoon insolation. April climatology averages 19°C highs at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the resolution station—elevating above-normal risks, though thin high clouds or slight wind shifts could cap at 26°C. New 12z model runs and hourly updates expected midday will refine the 1°C spread.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$10,562Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 15, 2026, 12:11 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...AEMET's latest municipal forecast for Madrid projects a 27°C maximum on April 17 under a stable high-pressure ridge fostering clear skies and light northeast winds at 10 km/h, driving trader sentiment toward the tightly contested 26–27°C outcomes with market-implied probabilities of 32.5% and 36.0%, respectively. This reflects a warming trend from April 16's observed highs near 20°C and forecast peak of 25°C, supported by ECMWF and GFS ensemble means clustering around 26.5°C amid minor divergences in boundary layer heating and peak afternoon insolation. April climatology averages 19°C highs at Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport—the resolution station—elevating above-normal risks, though thin high clouds or slight wind shifts could cap at 26°C. New 12z model runs and hourly updates expected midday will refine the 1°C spread.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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