Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 27°C (42%) as Madrid's highest temperature on April 17, closely trailed by 28°C (24%) and 26°C (23.5%), driven by the latest AEMET forecast projecting a maximum of 27°C under cloudless skies, light northeast winds at 10 km/h, and 0% precipitation probability. This aligns with AccuWeather's outlook for a very warm day with clouds and sun, peaking at 27°C amid a recent warming trend—April 16 highs hit 25°C following 23°C on April 15—fueled by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting atmospheric subsidence and efficient solar heating in Madrid's continental climate. Model consensus from ECMWF integrations shows tight clustering around mid-to-upper 20s°C, though minor divergences could yield ±1-2°C variance; final AEMET hourly observations will confirm resolution criteria based on official Retiro station measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Madrid on April 17?
Highest temperature in Madrid on April 17?
27°C 42%
28°C 27%
26°C 24%
25°C 7%
$18,589 Vol.
$18,589 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
7%
26°C
24%
27°C
42%
28°C
27%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
1%
27°C 42%
28°C 27%
26°C 24%
25°C 7%
$18,589 Vol.
$18,589 Vol.
20°C or below
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
7%
26°C
24%
27°C
42%
28°C
27%
29°C
3%
30°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 12:11 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Adolfo Suárez Madrid-Barajas Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/es/madrid/LEMDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors 27°C (42%) as Madrid's highest temperature on April 17, closely trailed by 28°C (24%) and 26°C (23.5%), driven by the latest AEMET forecast projecting a maximum of 27°C under cloudless skies, light northeast winds at 10 km/h, and 0% precipitation probability. This aligns with AccuWeather's outlook for a very warm day with clouds and sun, peaking at 27°C amid a recent warming trend—April 16 highs hit 25°C following 23°C on April 15—fueled by a persistent high-pressure ridge promoting atmospheric subsidence and efficient solar heating in Madrid's continental climate. Model consensus from ECMWF integrations shows tight clustering around mid-to-upper 20s°C, though minor divergences could yield ±1-2°C variance; final AEMET hourly observations will confirm resolution criteria based on official Retiro station measurements.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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