Trader consensus favors 84-85°F at 35.5% implied probability for Dallas's highest temperature on April 17, aligned with the latest National Weather Service guidance projecting mid-80s highs amid decreasing clouds and south-southeasterly winds of 10-15 mph following evening thunderstorms on April 15-16. A building upper-level ridge promotes subsidence and ample insolation after recent convective activity, consistent with NOAA's spring outlook for above-normal temperatures and persistent drought conditions that limit widespread cloudiness. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show agreement on pre-frontal warmth before a Friday night cold front potentially caps evening peaks, introducing uncertainty around exact maxima at Dallas Love Field. New forecast discussions expected overnight could refine probabilities as front timing clarifies.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoHighest temperature in Dallas on April 17?
Highest temperature in Dallas on April 17?
84-85°F 34%
82-83°F 26%
80-81°F 16%
86-87°F 16%
$11,642 Vol.
$11,642 Vol.
77°F or below
3%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
34%
86-87°F
16%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
84-85°F 34%
82-83°F 26%
80-81°F 16%
86-87°F 16%
$11,642 Vol.
$11,642 Vol.
77°F or below
3%
78-79°F
5%
80-81°F
16%
82-83°F
26%
84-85°F
34%
86-87°F
16%
88-89°F
5%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Apr 15, 2026, 6:05 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Dallas Love Field Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 84-85°F at 35.5% implied probability for Dallas's highest temperature on April 17, aligned with the latest National Weather Service guidance projecting mid-80s highs amid decreasing clouds and south-southeasterly winds of 10-15 mph following evening thunderstorms on April 15-16. A building upper-level ridge promotes subsidence and ample insolation after recent convective activity, consistent with NOAA's spring outlook for above-normal temperatures and persistent drought conditions that limit widespread cloudiness. Model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF show agreement on pre-frontal warmth before a Friday night cold front potentially caps evening peaks, introducing uncertainty around exact maxima at Dallas Love Field. New forecast discussions expected overnight could refine probabilities as front timing clarifies.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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