Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 14°C (35%) and 15°C (31.5%) for Amsterdam's highest temperature today, driven by the Koninklijk Nederlands Meteorologisch Instituut (KNMI)'s latest forecast issued April 11, projecting a 14°C maximum at Schiphol Airport amid dry conditions with sunny periods (60% sunshine) and moderate southwesterly winds at force 4. This mild southerly advection follows recent showers, bringing air slightly above April's climatological average of 12–13°C, but lingering cirrus clouds and coastal influences introduce uncertainty in peak afternoon insolation, potentially capping or boosting highs by 1°C. Weeronline models nudge toward 15°C, while early Schiphol readings (8.3°C at midnight) align with gradual warming; hourly KNMI updates through evening will sharpen resolution as the market nears close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 12?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on April 12?
14°C 36%
15°C 26%
13°C 15%
16°C 14%
$24,565 Vol.
$24,565 Vol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
15%
14°C
36%
15°C
31%
16°C
14%
17°C or higher
3%
14°C 36%
15°C 26%
13°C 15%
16°C 14%
$24,565 Vol.
$24,565 Vol.
7°C or below
<1%
8°C
<1%
9°C
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
1%
12°C
1%
13°C
15%
14°C
36%
15°C
31%
16°C
14%
17°C or higher
3%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 8, 2026, 1:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Trader consensus on Polymarket closely splits between 14°C (35%) and 15°C (31.5%) for Amsterdam's highest temperature today, driven by the Koninklijk Nederlands Meteorologisch Instituut (KNMI)'s latest forecast issued April 11, projecting a 14°C maximum at Schiphol Airport amid dry conditions with sunny periods (60% sunshine) and moderate southwesterly winds at force 4. This mild southerly advection follows recent showers, bringing air slightly above April's climatological average of 12–13°C, but lingering cirrus clouds and coastal influences introduce uncertainty in peak afternoon insolation, potentially capping or boosting highs by 1°C. Weeronline models nudge toward 15°C, while early Schiphol readings (8.3°C at midnight) align with gradual warming; hourly KNMI updates through evening will sharpen resolution as the market nears close.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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