Latest evening forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and Hong Kong Observatory project Chongqing's highest temperature at Jiangbei International Airport on April 12 at 24°C amid overcast skies transitioning to light rain, anchoring trader consensus with 34.5% implied probability for that outcome. The neck-and-neck race with 23°C (29.5%) stems from ensemble model spread, where persistent cloud cover from an incoming frontal system curbs solar insolation, potentially limiting peak heating by 1°C depending on exact timing of any midday showers. Recent observations logged April 11 highs near 21°C under similar cloudy conditions, underscoring the cooling influence of high humidity and reduced sunshine. Resolution hinges on airport station data, with uncertainty in convective development as the key differentiator.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 12?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on April 12?
24°C 34%
23°C 30%
22°C 16%
25°C 13.4%
$19,054 Vol.
$19,054 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
8%
22°C
16%
23°C
30%
24°C
34%
25°C
13%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
24°C 34%
23°C 30%
22°C 16%
25°C 13.4%
$19,054 Vol.
$19,054 Vol.
18°C or below
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
1%
21°C
8%
22°C
16%
23°C
30%
24°C
34%
25°C
13%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日: Apr 8, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Latest evening forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and Hong Kong Observatory project Chongqing's highest temperature at Jiangbei International Airport on April 12 at 24°C amid overcast skies transitioning to light rain, anchoring trader consensus with 34.5% implied probability for that outcome. The neck-and-neck race with 23°C (29.5%) stems from ensemble model spread, where persistent cloud cover from an incoming frontal system curbs solar insolation, potentially limiting peak heating by 1°C depending on exact timing of any midday showers. Recent observations logged April 11 highs near 21°C under similar cloudy conditions, underscoring the cooling influence of high humidity and reduced sunshine. Resolution hinges on airport station data, with uncertainty in convective development as the key differentiator.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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