Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which project Houston's April 17 high temperature clustering in the 81-85°F range amid southerly winds drawing Gulf moisture northward. The edge for 82-83°F at 39% over 84-85°F at 31% stems from recent forecast discussions highlighting 65% precipitation odds and diurnal convective activity that could cap peak heating under partial cloud cover, versus clearer skies in drier ensemble members pushing toward mid-80s. Above-normal April warmth per NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, building on early-month highs in the 80s, underpins the shift from climatological 81°F normals, with new 12z runs and NWS updates expected to sharpen differentiation before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Houston on April 17?
Highest temperature in Houston on April 17?
82-83°F 36%
84-85°F 34%
86-87°F 17%
80-81°F 10%
新規
新規
2026/04/17
79°F or below
5%
80-81°F
10%
82-83°F
36%
84-85°F
34%
86-87°F
17%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
1%
92-93°F
1%
94-95°F
1%
96-97°F
1%
98°F or higher
<1%
82-83°F 36%
84-85°F 34%
86-87°F 17%
80-81°F 10%
新規
新規
2026/04/17
79°F or below
$1,076 Vol.
5%
80-81°F
$293 Vol.
10%
82-83°F
$378 Vol.
36%
84-85°F
$295 Vol.
34%
86-87°F
$575 Vol.
17%
88-89°F
$1,116 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$1,749 Vol.
1%
92-93°F
$483 Vol.
1%
94-95°F
$692 Vol.
1%
96-97°F
$651 Vol.
1%
98°F or higher
$464 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which project Houston's April 17 high temperature clustering in the 81-85°F range amid southerly winds drawing Gulf moisture northward. The edge for 82-83°F at 39% over 84-85°F at 31% stems from recent forecast discussions highlighting 65% precipitation odds and diurnal convective activity that could cap peak heating under partial cloud cover, versus clearer skies in drier ensemble members pushing toward mid-80s. Above-normal April warmth per NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, building on early-month highs in the 80s, underpins the shift from climatological 81°F normals, with new 12z runs and NWS updates expected to sharpen differentiation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
音量
$7,636終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which project Houston's April 17 high temperature clustering in the 81-85°F range amid southerly winds drawing Gulf moisture northward. The edge for 82-83°F at 39% over 84-85°F at 31% stems from recent forecast discussions highlighting 65% precipitation odds and diurnal convective activity that could cap peak heating under partial cloud cover, versus clearer skies in drier ensemble members pushing toward mid-80s. Above-normal April warmth per NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, building on early-month highs in the 80s, underpins the shift from climatological 81°F normals, with new 12z runs and NWS updates expected to sharpen differentiation before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the William P. Hobby Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the William P. Hobby Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/houston/KHOU.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$7,636終了日
2026/04/17マーケット開始日
Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket reflects tight uncertainty in National Weather Service guidance and model ensembles like GFS and ECMWF, which project Houston's April 17 high temperature clustering in the 81-85°F range amid southerly winds drawing Gulf moisture northward. The edge for 82-83°F at 39% over 84-85°F at 31% stems from recent forecast discussions highlighting 65% precipitation odds and diurnal convective activity that could cap peak heating under partial cloud cover, versus clearer skies in drier ensemble members pushing toward mid-80s. Above-normal April warmth per NOAA's Climate Prediction Center, building on early-month highs in the 80s, underpins the shift from climatological 81°F normals, with new 12z runs and NWS updates expected to sharpen differentiation before resolution.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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