Latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), ECMWF, and GFS models project Istanbul's highest temperature on April 13 clustering around 13–14°C under overcast skies and light southerly winds from a cool post-frontal air mass over the Marmara Sea region, driving the tight trader consensus with 14°C at 36% implied probability edging 13°C at 26%. Differentiating factors include model divergence on afternoon cloud cover persistence—persistent stratiform layers could cap peaks at 13°C by limiting insolation, while brief breaks might enable boundary-layer warming to 15°C—against yesterday's subdued 13°C high. Seasonal norms near 16°C remain suppressed by this stable pattern; watch MGM hourly observations and overnight model runs for resolution cues before peak heating near 3 PM local time.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 13?
Highest temperature in Istanbul on April 13?
14°C 35%
13°C 26%
15°C 12%
12°C 9%
$15,264 Vol.
$15,264 Vol.
2026/04/13
9°C or below
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
5%
12°C
9%
13°C
26%
14°C
35%
15°C
12%
16°C
3%
17°C
1%
18°C
<1%
19°C or higher
1%
14°C 35%
13°C 26%
15°C 12%
12°C 9%
$15,264 Vol.
$15,264 Vol.
2026/04/13
9°C or below
$1,087 Vol.
1%
10°C
$778 Vol.
1%
11°C
$1,311 Vol.
5%
12°C
$1,693 Vol.
9%
13°C
$1,199 Vol.
26%
14°C
$1,310 Vol.
35%
15°C
$2,673 Vol.
12%
16°C
$1,803 Vol.
3%
17°C
$1,397 Vol.
1%
18°C
$1,286 Vol.
<1%
19°C or higher
$728 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), ECMWF, and GFS models project Istanbul's highest temperature on April 13 clustering around 13–14°C under overcast skies and light southerly winds from a cool post-frontal air mass over the Marmara Sea region, driving the tight trader consensus with 14°C at 36% implied probability edging 13°C at 26%. Differentiating factors include model divergence on afternoon cloud cover persistence—persistent stratiform layers could cap peaks at 13°C by limiting insolation, while brief breaks might enable boundary-layer warming to 15°C—against yesterday's subdued 13°C high. Seasonal norms near 16°C remain suppressed by this stable pattern; watch MGM hourly observations and overnight model runs for resolution cues before peak heating near 3 PM local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 9, 2026, 12:13 AM ET
音量
$15,264終了日
2026/04/13マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), ECMWF, and GFS models project Istanbul's highest temperature on April 13 clustering around 13–14°C under overcast skies and light southerly winds from a cool post-frontal air mass over the Marmara Sea region, driving the tight trader consensus with 14°C at 36% implied probability edging 13°C at 26%. Differentiating factors include model divergence on afternoon cloud cover persistence—persistent stratiform layers could cap peaks at 13°C by limiting insolation, while brief breaks might enable boundary-layer warming to 15°C—against yesterday's subdued 13°C high. Seasonal norms near 16°C remain suppressed by this stable pattern; watch MGM hourly observations and overnight model runs for resolution cues before peak heating near 3 PM local time.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 13 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column on the specified date once information is finalized for all hours on that date, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$15,264終了日
2026/04/13マーケット開始日
Apr 9, 2026, 12:13 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service (MGM), ECMWF, and GFS models project Istanbul's highest temperature on April 13 clustering around 13–14°C under overcast skies and light southerly winds from a cool post-frontal air mass over the Marmara Sea region, driving the tight trader consensus with 14°C at 36% implied probability edging 13°C at 26%. Differentiating factors include model divergence on afternoon cloud cover persistence—persistent stratiform layers could cap peaks at 13°C by limiting insolation, while brief breaks might enable boundary-layer warming to 15°C—against yesterday's subdued 13°C high. Seasonal norms near 16°C remain suppressed by this stable pattern; watch MGM hourly observations and overnight model runs for resolution cues before peak heating near 3 PM local time.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約。これは取引アドバイスではなく、このマーケットの解決方法には一切関係ありません。 · 更新日
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