Trader consensus favors a high of 72-73°F at 36.5% implied probability for Los Angeles on April 3, closely tracking National Weather Service guidance projecting a peak near 72°F amid persistent onshore flow and marine layer effects that cap temperatures. Recent National Weather Service updates highlight cool, breezy conditions with gusts up to 55 mph, following March 2026's record warmth, fostering a cooler bias in GFS and ECMWF model runs through steady west-to-southwest gradients over coastal Southern California. April climatology averages 72°F at Los Angeles International Airport, the likely resolution station, with historical highs rarely exceeding 85°F early in the month. Daily forecast refinements and real-time observations will sharpen uncertainty as onshore persistence versus any high-pressure ridging determines the final peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 3?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 3?
72-73°F 25%
74-75°F 24%
70-71°F 17%
76-77°F 13.2%
$37,627 Vol.
$37,627 Vol.
2026/04/03
59°F or below
<1%
60-61°F
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
3%
70-71°F
17%
72-73°F
25%
74-75°F
24%
76-77°F
13%
78°F or higher
11%
72-73°F 25%
74-75°F 24%
70-71°F 17%
76-77°F 13.2%
$37,627 Vol.
$37,627 Vol.
2026/04/03
59°F or below
$1,420 Vol.
<1%
60-61°F
$2,319 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$2,730 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$2,369 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$3,599 Vol.
2%
68-69°F
$3,853 Vol.
3%
70-71°F
$3,494 Vol.
17%
72-73°F
$3,653 Vol.
25%
74-75°F
$3,677 Vol.
24%
76-77°F
$2,091 Vol.
13%
78°F or higher
$8,483 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors a high of 72-73°F at 36.5% implied probability for Los Angeles on April 3, closely tracking National Weather Service guidance projecting a peak near 72°F amid persistent onshore flow and marine layer effects that cap temperatures. Recent National Weather Service updates highlight cool, breezy conditions with gusts up to 55 mph, following March 2026's record warmth, fostering a cooler bias in GFS and ECMWF model runs through steady west-to-southwest gradients over coastal Southern California. April climatology averages 72°F at Los Angeles International Airport, the likely resolution station, with historical highs rarely exceeding 85°F early in the month. Daily forecast refinements and real-time observations will sharpen uncertainty as onshore persistence versus any high-pressure ridging determines the final peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 4:52 PM ET
音量
$37,627終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 4:52 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors a high of 72-73°F at 36.5% implied probability for Los Angeles on April 3, closely tracking National Weather Service guidance projecting a peak near 72°F amid persistent onshore flow and marine layer effects that cap temperatures. Recent National Weather Service updates highlight cool, breezy conditions with gusts up to 55 mph, following March 2026's record warmth, fostering a cooler bias in GFS and ECMWF model runs through steady west-to-southwest gradients over coastal Southern California. April climatology averages 72°F at Los Angeles International Airport, the likely resolution station, with historical highs rarely exceeding 85°F early in the month. Daily forecast refinements and real-time observations will sharpen uncertainty as onshore persistence versus any high-pressure ridging determines the final peak.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 3 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$37,627終了日
2026/04/03マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 4:52 PM ETTrader consensus favors a high of 72-73°F at 36.5% implied probability for Los Angeles on April 3, closely tracking National Weather Service guidance projecting a peak near 72°F amid persistent onshore flow and marine layer effects that cap temperatures. Recent National Weather Service updates highlight cool, breezy conditions with gusts up to 55 mph, following March 2026's record warmth, fostering a cooler bias in GFS and ECMWF model runs through steady west-to-southwest gradients over coastal Southern California. April climatology averages 72°F at Los Angeles International Airport, the likely resolution station, with historical highs rarely exceeding 85°F early in the month. Daily forecast refinements and real-time observations will sharpen uncertainty as onshore persistence versus any high-pressure ridging determines the final peak.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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