Latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensembles project Los Angeles highs clustered in the low-to-mid 70s°F on April 5, driving the tight race among 72-73°F (23% implied probability), 76-77°F (22.5%), and adjacent bins, as traders weigh marine layer persistence against high pressure influences. Persistent nocturnal stratus advection and moderate onshore flow could limit burn-off, capping peaks near 72-73°F by trapping solar heating under low clouds, while a stronger northeast Pacific ridge promoting subsidence and earlier clearing favors 76-79°F outcomes. Downtown Los Angeles' April climatological normal is 71°F, with current neutral ENSO conditions supporting slight above-normal temps; new 12z model runs expected within 24 hours may sharpen consensus amid inherent forecast spread of 4-6°F.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日4月5日のロサンゼルスの最高気温は？
4月5日のロサンゼルスの最高気温は？
76〜77°F 23%
72～73°F 22%
華氏74～75度 20%
78〜79°F 14%
新規
$10,172 Vol.
新規
$10,172 Vol.
2026/04/05
67°F以下
2%
68〜69°F
5%
70〜71°F
12%
72～73°F
22%
華氏74～75度
20%
76〜77°F
23%
78〜79°F
19%
80～81°F
9%
82〜83°F
2%
84〜85°F
2%
86°F以上
2%
76〜77°F 23%
72～73°F 22%
華氏74～75度 20%
78〜79°F 14%
新規
$10,172 Vol.
新規
$10,172 Vol.
2026/04/05
67°F以下
$2,012 Vol.
2%
68〜69°F
$785 Vol.
5%
70〜71°F
$180 Vol.
12%
72～73°F
$373 Vol.
22%
華氏74～75度
$222 Vol.
20%
76〜77°F
$285 Vol.
23%
78〜79°F
$250 Vol.
19%
80～81°F
$586 Vol.
9%
82〜83°F
$818 Vol.
2%
84〜85°F
$498 Vol.
2%
86°F以上
$4,177 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensembles project Los Angeles highs clustered in the low-to-mid 70s°F on April 5, driving the tight race among 72-73°F (23% implied probability), 76-77°F (22.5%), and adjacent bins, as traders weigh marine layer persistence against high pressure influences. Persistent nocturnal stratus advection and moderate onshore flow could limit burn-off, capping peaks near 72-73°F by trapping solar heating under low clouds, while a stronger northeast Pacific ridge promoting subsidence and earlier clearing favors 76-79°F outcomes. Downtown Los Angeles' April climatological normal is 71°F, with current neutral ENSO conditions supporting slight above-normal temps; new 12z model runs expected within 24 hours may sharpen consensus amid inherent forecast spread of 4-6°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Apr 1, 2026, 6:09 AM ET
音量
$10,172終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:09 AM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Latest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensembles project Los Angeles highs clustered in the low-to-mid 70s°F on April 5, driving the tight race among 72-73°F (23% implied probability), 76-77°F (22.5%), and adjacent bins, as traders weigh marine layer persistence against high pressure influences. Persistent nocturnal stratus advection and moderate onshore flow could limit burn-off, capping peaks near 72-73°F by trapping solar heating under low clouds, while a stronger northeast Pacific ridge promoting subsidence and earlier clearing favors 76-79°F outcomes. Downtown Los Angeles' April climatological normal is 71°F, with current neutral ENSO conditions supporting slight above-normal temps; new 12z model runs expected within 24 hours may sharpen consensus amid inherent forecast spread of 4-6°F.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$10,172終了日
2026/04/05マーケット開始日
Apr 1, 2026, 6:09 AM ETLatest National Weather Service guidance and GFS/ECMWF ensembles project Los Angeles highs clustered in the low-to-mid 70s°F on April 5, driving the tight race among 72-73°F (23% implied probability), 76-77°F (22.5%), and adjacent bins, as traders weigh marine layer persistence against high pressure influences. Persistent nocturnal stratus advection and moderate onshore flow could limit burn-off, capping peaks near 72-73°F by trapping solar heating under low clouds, while a stronger northeast Pacific ridge promoting subsidence and earlier clearing favors 76-79°F outcomes. Downtown Los Angeles' April climatological normal is 71°F, with current neutral ENSO conditions supporting slight above-normal temps; new 12z model runs expected within 24 hours may sharpen consensus amid inherent forecast spread of 4-6°F.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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