Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 80°F or higher high temperature in Los Angeles at 52% implied probability for April 4, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting peaks near 81–84°F under a persistent high-pressure ridge over Southern California. This setup promotes subsidence inversion, clear skies, and downslope warming from coastal mountains, limiting marine layer stratus and enabling above-normal heating—climatological April 4 average is 72°F, with records up to 91°F. Over the past 24 hours, long-range outlooks from NOAA-affiliated sources confirmed warmer-than-normal trends for early April, shifting odds from tighter clustering around 76–79°F. Uncertainty persists in morning cloud cover; monitor afternoon NWS updates before resolution at official downtown or LAX observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 4?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 4?
80°F or higher 49%
78-79°F 16%
76-77°F 14%
74-75°F 8%
$18,564 Vol.
$18,564 Vol.
2026/04/04
61°F or below
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
1%
72-73°F
3%
74-75°F
8%
76-77°F
14%
78-79°F
16%
80°F or higher
49%
80°F or higher 49%
78-79°F 16%
76-77°F 14%
74-75°F 8%
$18,564 Vol.
$18,564 Vol.
2026/04/04
61°F or below
$3,063 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$1,144 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,291 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$1,985 Vol.
1%
68-69°F
$2,094 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$3,469 Vol.
1%
72-73°F
$1,702 Vol.
3%
74-75°F
$1,014 Vol.
8%
76-77°F
$745 Vol.
14%
78-79°F
$671 Vol.
16%
80°F or higher
$1,386 Vol.
49%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 80°F or higher high temperature in Los Angeles at 52% implied probability for April 4, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting peaks near 81–84°F under a persistent high-pressure ridge over Southern California. This setup promotes subsidence inversion, clear skies, and downslope warming from coastal mountains, limiting marine layer stratus and enabling above-normal heating—climatological April 4 average is 72°F, with records up to 91°F. Over the past 24 hours, long-range outlooks from NOAA-affiliated sources confirmed warmer-than-normal trends for early April, shifting odds from tighter clustering around 76–79°F. Uncertainty persists in morning cloud cover; monitor afternoon NWS updates before resolution at official downtown or LAX observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
マーケット開始日： Mar 29, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
音量
$18,564終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:33 PM ETThis market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an 80°F or higher high temperature in Los Angeles at 52% implied probability for April 4, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting peaks near 81–84°F under a persistent high-pressure ridge over Southern California. This setup promotes subsidence inversion, clear skies, and downslope warming from coastal mountains, limiting marine layer stratus and enabling above-normal heating—climatological April 4 average is 72°F, with records up to 91°F. Over the past 24 hours, long-range outlooks from NOAA-affiliated sources confirmed warmer-than-normal trends for early April, shifting odds from tighter clustering around 76–79°F. Uncertainty persists in morning cloud cover; monitor afternoon NWS updates before resolution at official downtown or LAX observations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
音量
$18,564終了日
2026/04/04マーケット開始日
Mar 29, 2026, 2:33 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices an 80°F or higher high temperature in Los Angeles at 52% implied probability for April 4, reflecting National Weather Service guidance and model consensus from GFS and ECMWF ensembles projecting peaks near 81–84°F under a persistent high-pressure ridge over Southern California. This setup promotes subsidence inversion, clear skies, and downslope warming from coastal mountains, limiting marine layer stratus and enabling above-normal heating—climatological April 4 average is 72°F, with records up to 91°F. Over the past 24 hours, long-range outlooks from NOAA-affiliated sources confirmed warmer-than-normal trends for early April, shifting odds from tighter clustering around 76–79°F. Uncertainty persists in morning cloud cover; monitor afternoon NWS updates before resolution at official downtown or LAX observations.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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